Pick'Em: Upset Picks of Week 5

So when I re-started this series of posts I really thought at worst I'd hover around .500. Boy was I wrong! Apparently, even 24 point leads are not enough to steal me a victory lately.

I figure I had better keep going with these and hope I'll stop coming off looking like a complete imbecile. Probably not going to happen considering how bad its gone. But hey! Even a broken clock is right twice a day, so let's make this week one of those broken clock weeks!

There are tons of games to choose from too, so it really comes down to picking the right one's. Something I obviously need to work on...

Now, onto WEEK 5!

Last Week: 0-3
Overall Record: 1-6

*NOTE* For those who wonder, I look at the percentages from Yahoo! and take a look at my picks and compare them to what everyone else picked on that website. If a team has under 30% then I would consider it a high risk pick, a team that has been picked between 31-40% would rank as a medium risk, and 41% to 59% would be a low risk pick.

High Risk Upset Picks:

Atlanta Falcons over Green Bay Packers

You would have to be crazy to pick against the Packers after their drubbing of the lowly Broncos right? Well, 88% of Yahoo pickers would agree and that is a line I'd be willing to risk to gain a position in a pick'em league. Atlanta is a good football team and pretty stout at home, plus they are a run focus team which is how you slow down a team like the Packers. If the Falcons win, you would almost be guaranteed to gain a spot on everyone else in your league. Of course, if you lose... haha Either way, I'm taking the home team here for the upset pick!

Oakland Raiders over Houston Texans

I actually think these two teams are similar in talent, with the Texans being the team that is overrated at this point in the season. They also are without Andre Johnson for several weeks. I have a sneaking feeling that the Raiders steal one here, as much as I hate them with all that I am. However, I've decided to take the Texans just to spite them. I'd rather lose with the other 86% of Yahoo'ers than win by taking the Raiders.

Medium Risk Upset Picks:

Tennessee Titans over Pittsburgh Steelers

Pittsburgh keeps burning me over and over again this year. They are not the great team of recent years. Tennessee has the leagues top defense and is controlling the line of scrimmage in their games this year. With only 32% of users picking the Titans, you can gain some valuable ground with this pick. Of course, with my luck, the Steelers will suddenly be great again. Still, I'm taking the Titans.

Kansas City Chiefs over Indianapolis Colts

Wow. Which team is worse? I don't have a clue. All I can say is that 32% of users took Kansas City, so if you feel good about them then by all means go for it! As for me, I'm going to take the team most everyone else will be taking since I wouldn't even want to risk a nickel I found on a street corner on this game.

Low Risk Upset Picks:

Tampa Bay Buccaneers over San Francisco 49ers

I do not think Tampa Bay is a great football team, but they are scrappy. The 49ers on the other hand are a very lucky team and most had them pegged as one of the league's bottom feeders before the season starts. They kind of remind me of the 2009 Broncos, in fact. Yahoo'ers are leaping onto the 49er bandwagon thinking Alex Smith is Joe Montana, but I suggest siding with the 42% that went with Tampa as you'll likely find yourself ahead. For this game, I'll go with the better quarterback and that means Josh Freeman!

Philadelphia Eagles over Buffalo Bills

Along with the 49ers, the Buffalo Bills are another team I think is a complete and utter fraud. The Eagles are struggling, but are far and away more talented. The Eagles weakness is runs up the middle and the Bills weakness is running up the middle. Ryan Fitzpatrick is going to struggle against the dream team secondary as well. The game is close, with 47% siding with the Eagles. Go Eagles!

Arizona Cardinals over Minnesota Vikings

I'm tempted to take the Cardinals here, since only 44% of users picked them this week against a winless Vikings team. However, once teams are 0-4 they tend to get desperate for a win and that makes them unpredictable. If the Vikings were underdogs, I'd probably take them anyway for the same reason. So let's play it safe and take the Vikings.

Jacksonville Jaguars over Cincinnati Bengals

I don't trust either of these teams and it is nearly 50-50 with a slight favoring for Jacksonville. I am inclined to take Jacksonville here, simply because they are at home. I hate picking games between two unpredictable and inconsistent teams. Almost always go with the home team and in this case its Jacksonville.

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Ok, so I picked five out of eight. I figure, I'll at least get 2-3 of them and stop the bleeding. If you are surprised the Denver Broncos were not on this list, don't be - you are delusional and should stop drinking the vodka tonics. I'll still be watching, but it has become so mind numbingly predictable that'll I'll probably just sit here pissing and moaning about Tim Tebow not being in the game. Either way, the long road to rebuilding is just that....a long road...

GO BRONCOS!

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