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Two teams vying for the #2 seed in the AFC will face off at M&T Bank Stadium at 11:00 AM MT this Sunday -- the 10-3 Denver Broncos and the 9-4 Baltimore Ravens. The Broncos are riding an 8-game winning streak while the Ravens have lost their last two. This game could be a preview of a matchup that could recur in the playoffs next month and should be an exciting one to watch.
BROADCAST: CBS has the national broadcast rights. Check the Broadcast Map to see which games are being aired in your area. Greg Gumbel and Dan Dierdorf will cover the commentary for this contest. SIRIUS: 106 (Den.), 86 (Bal.). XM: 226 (Bal.) DirecTV: 709 (Den.).
WEATHER: The forecast suggests that Thunderstorms are likely. That could affect the game since this is an outdoor stadium. The temperature range should be 74/46f.
ODDS: The wise guys in Vegas have Denver favored by 2.5 points and the Over/Under is set at 48.5
SERIES: The Broncos trail the Ravens (3-6) with all three victories coming at Home. Denver has never beaten the Ravens in Baltimore. The last time the Broncos won was on October 9, 2006 at Mile High by the score of 13-3.
WHAT TO WATCH FOR
- The Broncos need a win tie for the 3rd-longest winning streak in team history.
S MIKE ADAMS (68 tackles in 2012)
CB CHAMP BAILEY (34 INTs as a Bronco)
CB OMAR BOLDEN (9 Special-Teams Tackles in 2012)
WR ERIC DECKER (8 TDs in 2012)
TE JOEL DREESSEN (34 receptions in 2012)
DE ELVIS DUMERVIL (6 FF in 2012)
WR TRINDON HOLLIDAY (105-yd. KOR and 76-yd. PR in 2012)
QB PEYTON MANNING (3,812 passing yards/7 300-yard games 2012)
LB VON MILLER (15 sacks/6 FF in 2012)
LB WESLEY WOODYARD (97 tackles in 2012)
2012 TEAM COMPARISON
BRONCOS RAVENS
OFFENSE
Net Yards Per Game (NFL Rank) . . . . 390.1 (4th) . . . 344.4 (18th)
Yards Per Play (NFL Rank) . . . . . . . . . 5.9 (7th) . . . . . 5.5 (16th)
Points Per Game (NFL Rank) . . . . . . . 28.8 (2nd) . . . . 25.5 (9th)
Possession Average . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30:03 . . . . . . . .27:15
Net Rushing Yards Per Game . . . . . . . 106.1 . . . . . . . . 108.8
Net Passing Yards Per Game . . . . . . . 284.0 . . . . . . . . 235.5
Had Intercepted/Yards . . . . . . . . . . . . 10/218 . . . . . . . .9/119
Sacks Allowed/Yards . . . . . . . . . . . . . .19/120 . . . . . . . .31/188
Fumbles/Lost . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18/13 . . . . . . . . .11/4
Third Down Pct. (NFL Rank) . . . . . . .44.1% (5th) . . . . 33.9% (19th)
Red Zone TD Pct. (NFL Rank) . . . . . 56.9% (10th) . . . . 59.0% (6th)
Giveaways (NFL Rank) . . . . . . . . . . .23 (T-19 th) . . . .13 (T-5th)
DEFENSE
Net Yards Per Game (NFL Rank) . . .309.4 (4th). . . . .375.9 (28th)
Yards Per Play (NFL Rank) . . . . . . . .4.8 (3rd). . . . . . . .5.3 (16th)
Points Per Game (NFL Rank) . . . . . . 19.8 (4th). . . . . . 21.0 (10th)
Net Rushing Yards Per Game . . . . . . 93.7. . . . . . . . . . . 129.3
Net Passing Yards Per Game . . . . . . . 215.7 . . . . . . . . . .246.6
Intercepted By/Yards . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15/249 . . . . . . . . 13/196
Sacks For/Yards . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .39/268 . . . . . . . . 30/201
Opponent Fumbles/Lost . . . . . . . . . . . 19/6 . . . . . . . . . . 21/12
Third Down Pct. (NFL Rank) . . . . . . . 32.6% (3rd) . . . . 37.8% (14th)
Red Zone TD Pct. (NFL Rank) . . . . . . 62.9% (30th) . . . 40.0% (1st)
Takeaways (NFL Rank) . . . . . . . . . . . .21 (T-15th) . . . . 25 (T-7th)
SPECIAL TEAMS
Punts-Average Yards (Gross) . . . . . . . 46.7 . . . . . . . . . . 47.5
Punts-Average Yards (Net) . . . . . . . . . 42.8 . . . . . . . . . . 40.4
Punt Returns-Average Per . . . . . . . . . .10.6 . . . . . . . . . . 9.7
Punt Returns-Avg Per Allowed . . . . . . 4.9 . . . . . . . . . . . 8.3
Kickoff Returns-Avg Per . . . . . . . . . . . .23.8 . . . . . . . . . . 28.7
Kickoff Returns-Avg Per Allowed . . . . .20.8 . . . . . . . . . 23.0
Field Goals Made/Attempted . . . . . . . . 21/26 . . . . . . . . 24/26
PENALTIES
Penalties Against/Yards . . . . . . . . . . . . 77/640 . . . . . . . 96/872
Opponent Penalties Against/Yards . . . 102/789 . . . . . . .90/786
Football Outsiders Week 14 DVOA ratings
Team | Total DVOA | Last WK | OFF DVOA | OFF RANK | DEF DVOA | DEF RANK | S.T. DVOA | S.T. RANK |
3-Den | 35.5% | 2 | 18.5% | 3 | -14.5% | 5 | 2.4% | 10 |
9-Balt | 12.0% | 9 | 3.7% | 16 | 2.0% | 19 | 10.3% | 1 |
Advanced Stats Efficiency Rankings
RANK | TEAM | LAST WK | GWP | OPP GWP | OFF RNK | DEF RNK |
1 | DENVER | 1 | 0.71 | 0.49 | 4 | 3 |
21 | BALT. | 20 | 0.47 | 0.48 | 17 | 19 |
Advanced Stats Success Rates
RANK | TEAM | Tm AdjSR | Off AdjSR | Def AdjSR |
1 | DEN | 54.0 | 50.1 | 57.9 |
22 | BALT | 48.5 | 43.3 | 53.6 |
We all know that statistics aren’t the be-all and end-all of the story, but they are telling and an efficient starting point for discussion.
Go Broncos!
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