/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_image/image/5510729/158689016.0.jpg)
This isn't 2011---we don't have the Teebs behind center to lead our offense to an anemic 3 points. We aren't facing a salty QB felt screwed over by the entire situation. These aren't two evenly matched teams in any way shape or form and mark my words Broncos Country----We WILL win next week!!! So good for me right? Easy to predict a predictable outcome. But that's only where the fun begins my friends----let's delve into the AFC Playoff Race as it stands and take a thorough look on the maybe's in play next week.
AFC Playoff Standings
Texans |
12-3 |
10-1 |
@ IND |
Broncos |
12-3 |
9-2 |
KC |
Patsies |
11-4 |
10-1 |
Miami |
Ravens |
10-5 |
8-3 |
@Cincy |
Colts |
10-5 |
7-4 |
HOU |
Bengals |
9-6 |
6-5 |
BAL |
Clinching Scenarios for the #1 seed:
Houston:
- Win OR both a Denver AND NE loss.
Denver:
- Win AND a HOU loss
NE:
- Win AND HOU/Denver Loss
Clinching Scenarios for the #2 seed:
Houston:
- Loss + Denver win + NE loss
Denver:
- Win OR NE loss
NE:
- Win AND Denver Loss
As we can see, both Houston and Denver control their own destiny in week 17. A win for either team ensures a first round bye---Denver can claim home field throughout the AFC playoffs with a Win and Houston loss. NE needs help as they need to win and hope either Denver or Houston loses. If Denver wins, NE only has a shot at the #2 seed with a Houston loss.
Clinching Scenarios for the #3 seed:
Houston:
Loss + NE win + Denver win
Denver:
Loss + NE win
NE:
Loss OR HOU win + Denver win
BAL:
Win + NE loss
Clinching Scenarios for the #4 seed:
NE:
Loss + BAL win
BAL:
Loss OR NE win
Clinching Scenarios for the #5 seed:
From what I can tell, even an IND loss and CIN tie would mean IND retains the #5 seed due to record against common opponents. Again, I'm speculating the math here a bit but I think the #5 and #6 seeds are set. With this stuff out of the way, I'm going to map out three different scenarios for our Broncos.
Broncos as the #1 seed
That would mean that Houston lost. In this scenario I'm also going to assume that NE takes care of business at home against Miami. That would yield the following positions:
1) Denver
2) NE
3) Houston
4) Baltimore
5) Indy
6) Cincy
That would mean a wild card slate of Cincy at Houston (a rematch from last year) and Indy at Baltimore. The following week we would host Baltimore, Indy, or Cincy, depending on who was the lowest remaining seed. In this scenario, a rematch with NE wouldn't happen until championship Sunday.
Broncos as the #2 seed
That would mean a Houston and Denver victory or a NE loss. Lots of scenarios to play out here, but most likely you have Houston and Denver at #1 and #2 with NE or BAL at #3 and #4
1) Houston
2) Denver
3) NE
4) BAL
5) IND
6) Cincy
or
1) Houston
2) Denver
3) BAL
4) NE
5) IND
6) Cincy
Wildcard weekend in the first one would see Cincy @ NE and IND @ BAL, in the second one it would see Cincy @ BAL and IND @ NE. The first one would be more likely to see a Den/NE matchup in the divisional round while a Bal/Den matchup would be more likely in the second scenario.
Denver as a #3 seed
Ain't No Way mofo's!!!!
As a fan, I would love to see the Texans lose, both us and NE win and for Denver to be #1 and NE to be #2. This would set up a date at home with the evil empire and prissy Mr. Gisele in the AFC Championship for the right to play in the SB.
Whatever happens, the Broncos WILL have a first round bye---now if you want homefield throughout, it's time to root for Indy and Andrew Luck next week.
What say you MHR---which scenarios would you like to see most come playoff time? LET'S DISCUSS---GO BRONCOS!!!