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Week 13 NFL picks: Happy Thanksgiving everyone!

Week 13 in the NFL means its Thanksgiving. Thursday has three games to enjoy which means that we will be treating you to an early edition of NFL Picks this week. I hope you and yours have a very happy and healthy Thanksgiving.

Jeff Curry-USA TODAY Sports

Hooray Turkey Day! The only thing that can be better than me and my wife, squaring off in a battle of "who makes the best stuffing/dressing" is a short work week and extra football on our day off.

If I can inject a little personal opinion into here, I urge you all to not go out for the ridiculous Black Friday deals. A concerted effort to boycott these practices so that families can indeed enjoy a 5 minute conversation after eating their meal before their loved ones are called into work to sell complete garbage that will break within a week of opening it at bare minimum prices should be common practice. So please, don't be a lemming and go out for a deal that really isn't a deal. No company actually gives away anything for free, you only THINK you're getting something for free or a deal. You really aren't.

Now onto my picks for Week 13!

  • Last week: 13-2
  • Overall: 113-62-1

Chicago Bears (5-6) at Detroit Lions (7-4) TNF 10:30 MT on CBS
The Bears are riding high during their 2 game winning streak. They are winning despite mediocre at best play from Jay Cutler. On the other side of the field is the Detroit Lions, fresh off of their humiliating loss to the Patriots. I personally saw a lot of quit in the Lions' offense last week which is disturbing. What this game boils down to is the "give up" trait in Cutler vs the "I quit" trait I saw out of Detroit last week. Long term history says Detroit has a whole lot more quit in them than Chicago, but recent history shows that nobody, and I do mean nobody, can quit quite like Cutler.Prediction: Bears 16, Lions 24

Philadelphia Eagles (8-3) at Dallas Cowboys (8-3) TNF 2:30 MT on FOX
This game is for first place in the tough NFC East. Make no mistake about it, these are two of the better teams in the NFL, so it's a shame that one of them will play an away game come playoff time while the winner of the NFC South has a home game. I think that a fire has been lit under the Cowboys' butts and they'll pound the ball down Philly's throats. Sanchez will be too busy eating hot dogs on the sideline to answer back. Prediction: Eagles 24, Cowboys 31

Seattle Seahawks (7-4) at San Francisco 49ers (7-4) TNF 6:30 MT on NBC
Buckle up your chin straps ladies and gentlemen, this is going to be a bumpy game. The only thing I liked out of Richard Sherman's rant was that these Thursday games do not promote player safety. These are two physical teams who play each other very close. While I want to give the nod to the 9ers, I just can't. Seattle has their number, and I look for it to continue. Prediction: Seahawks 24, 49ers 17

Tennessee Titans (2-9) at Houston Texans (5-6) 11:00 MT on CBS
The bad news for the Texans is that Ryan Mallet is on IR. The good news for the Titans is that Zach Mettenberger isn't the lowest rated quarterback in the league. I kinda want to pick Tennessee simply because of the quarterback change for Houston, but  that Texan's defense is pretty stout, especially for third from the bottom rated quarterbacks. I think this is a "pick em" game, but again, I refuse to predict a tie. Prediction: Titans 13, Texans 10

Oakland Raiders (1-10) at St. Louis Rams (4-7) 11:00 MT on CBS
Coming off their first win of the year is the Oakland Raiders! Is this a two win team? Sadly, they are not. This game might set football back 50 years. Some team must win, and, well, the Raiders are losers, so it won't be them. Prediction: Raiders 12, Rams 17

San Diego Chargers (7-4) at Baltimore Ravens (7-4) 11:00 MT on CBS
Philip Rivers is dynamite against the blitz, and the Ravens look to be able to run the ball up the gut. These two teams are remarkably similar in the most unsimilar of ways. I know, I confused myself too. What I'm saying is that both will win/lose with style and both will win/lose ugly. So who wins and who loses? It's in Baltimore, duh. Prediction: Chargers 27, Ravens 30

Cleveland Browns (7-4) at Buffalo Bills (6-5) 11:00 MT on CBS
Holy Buffalo Bills Batman! Mother Nature laid the smackdown on the city of Buffalo, so apparently the Bills felt like doing the same to the Jets. Can the repeat that performance at home (maybe) against the Browns? I really want to say the Bills will win off of emotion alone (you know, showing the citizens of Buffalo that there is hope left in their disaster ridden city), but the Browns are the better team. Sometimes the better team just wins. Prediction: Browns 20, Bills 17

Cincinnati Bengals (7-3-1) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-9) 11:00 MT on CBS
There shouldn't be much explanation for picking the Bengals here. A.J. Green is on a two game tear, and the Bucs are, well, the Bucs. Prediciton: Bengals 31, Bucs 17

Washington Redskins (3-8) at Indianapolis Colts (7-4) 11:00 MT on FOX
Robert Griffin III has been benched and his NFL career looks to be going the way of Tim Tebow's. Will GM's ever learn to avoid these players? Or is RG3 simply on the wrong team with the wrong system? Who knows. All I know is that Colt McCoy has talent, but then again, Andrew Luck has more throwing left handed than McCoy has in his whole body. Prediction: Redskins 16, Colts 35

New York Giants (3-8) at Jacksonville Jaguars (1-10) 11:00 MT on FOX
The Giants are a bad team, but not as bad as the Jags. And no, I refuse to mention their WR's name because, quite frankly, I'm sick and tired of all this "that's the greatest (insert whatever here) I've ever seen" nonsense. Lets everyone have a little perspective here. There are great plays that happen every week. Ever.Single.Week. Was his catch good? Of course, but best ever? EVER? Umm, I'm pretty sure I could go back in the annals of the billions of catches (maybe trillions) throughout the history of the world to find a better one, or a more impactful one. So no, sorry, hyperbole stops here. And that's me saying that! That should mean something! Prediction: Giants 24, Jags 10

Carolina Panthers (3-7-1) at Minnesota Vikings (4-7) 11:00 MT on FOX
In all honesty, the Panthers should win this game. In all reality, they'll likely lose this game because nobody in the NFC South seems to want to actually win their division, let alone have a winning record. How do you pick between two teams that refuse to win? No, really, I'm asking for advice here. Prediction: Panters 24, Vikings 20

New Orleans Saints (4-7) at Pittsburgh Steelers (7-4) 11:00 MT on FOX
If the Saints can't win a single game during their three game home stint, there's no way they are winning in Pittsburgh against the Steelers. Sorry Who Dat nation, but this game's outcome has already been decided. Luckily for the Saints, the Falcons will also lose, so even with a 4-8 record, they'll only be a half game out of first place in the division. Maybe next week guys. Prediction: Saints 24, Steelers 31

Arizona Cardinals (9-2) at Atlanta Falcons (4-7) 2:05 MT on FOX
I feel like I'm just kicking a dead horse if I say anything else about the NFC South, but here we are, with another NFC South team playing. The Falcons have won inner-division games, but that's about it. Sadly for them, the Cardinals are in the NFC East. Prediction: Cardinals 27, Falcons 17

New England Patriots (9-2) Green Bay Packers (8-3) 2:25 MT on CBS
This is one of the two games of the week in my eyes. We get to watch the two best teams in the NFL square off before February. The Patriots look invincible, and the Packers look unbeatable. Something has to give inside the hallowed grounds of Lambeau Field. I'm pretty sure every member of Broncos Country will be sending their positive energy the Packers' way. But will it be enough? Prediction: Patriots 34, yes it will be enough Packers 38

Denver Broncos (8-3) at Kansas City Chiefs (7-4) SNF 6:30 MT on NBC
If the Broncos offense plays balanced football like last week, the Broncos can win. If the Broncos defense plays like they did last week, they will lose. The Chiefs are ridiculously one dimensional with their running offense which should feed into Denver's strength, but last week their run defense was anything but a strength. We saw this last year when the Chiefs couldn't score and I accurately predicted that they would light up our secondary. Well, we are hearing the same narrative this week. What do I think? I think the Chiefs will FINALLY have a wide receiver catch a touchdown. Scratch that, they'll have multiple touchdowns to wide receivers. For all the talent this Broncos defense has, they will once again be out coached and out schemed by a garbage offensive team. Look for 2-3 WR touchdown catches and at least 1-2 rushing touchdowns by Charles. Sorry Broncos faithful, the Chiefs will win in Arrowhead. Prediction: Broncos 39, Chiefs 42

Miami Dolphins (6-5) at New York Jets (2-9) MNF 6:30 MT on ESPN
Rex Ryan is out at the end of this year regardless of what happens on the field. I'm going to start a petition for the Broncos to hire him in any capacity necessary whether it's Coordinator or Head Coach. Players love him which means they'll roll over to Miami because they'll be pissed at their front office for showing their true colors when it comes to Rex. Look for Miami to win and win big. Oh, by the way, Geno Smith is going to start which is always entertaining to watch in the "how-bad-will-he-be" kind of way. Prediction: Dolphins 36, Jets 9

And now for my Confidence Rankings:

16 Indianapolis
15 Arizona
14 Miami
13 Cincinnati
12 Dallas
11 Carolina
10 Pittsburgh
9 Green Bay
8 Giants
7 Cleveland
6 Baltimore
5 Tennessee
4 Detroit
3 Seattle
2 St. Louis
1 Kansas City