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Did you listen to me last week? If you read me here or on Twitter last week you at least doubled your money in daily fantasy and if you took my recommendation to start Devonta Freeman and Greg Olsen, you likely won in league play as well.
Now where I was off... I said that I couldn't trust Ty Montgomery just yet (he scored a touchdown), I loved Jared Cook and Nick Foles both (both tanked) and I waived the Crockett Gillmore flag high (but he got injured), so that's more a freak of nature than my failure to you.
My other two deep waiver recommendations: Leonard Hankerson and Dorial Green-Beckham were both promising. Green-Beckham scored (on Bye this week) and Hankerson has clearly usurped Roddy White as the second wide receiver for the Atlanta Falcons.
League Play Waiver Wire:
Here is what you're going to get if you read somewhere else: Tyrod Taylor (available in 43% of NFL.com leagues!), Karlos Williams (available in over 48% of ESPN.com leagues!) and Chris Johnson (available in 39% of Yahoo.com leagues!). Those dudes aren't available in any of your leagues though and if they are for some reason, grab them and start them over pretty much anyone on your current roster. Taylor and Williams are top five plays at their position this week and Johnson is a top ten play.
So who can you really get on your waiver wire?
Here is my list... Andy Dalton, he's likely gone in your league, but he's available in three of my leagues right now (and I only play in two that aren't expert leagues) and he's a top five play at quarterback this week (and an excellent FanDuel value). Dalton is playing that Kansas City Chiefs defense that... Well... No one questioned Peyton Manning's arm strength after week 2, let's put it that way.
That also makes A.J. Green a 'start 'em' and Marvin Jones a 'sleeper', which leads me to my recommendation that you find Jones on your waiver wire and put him in over your worst receiver or even as a flex.
To running backs for a second, obviously grab and start Karlos Williams if he is miraculously available in your league. The Dallas Cowboys had not one, but two starting running backs go yard. If you started Joseph Randle like I recommended on Twitter then you saw his first three carries go for 86 yards and a touchdown. Then if you started Lance Dunbar (like I was forced to in one league) you were rewarded with only one rush for five yards, but ten catches for 100 yards.
So Dunbar is another guy that you need to pick up if you're in a PPR league or if you're feeling froggy (like MHR'sTim Lynch, who has been advocating this week for me to include him on FanDuel).
You have to get Thomas Rawles especially if you have Marshawn Lynch (who may be a game time decision and on a Monday), but even if you don't have Lynch I think that you have to get Rawles. Just let him sit on your bench worst case scenario this week and get him in when Lynch inevitably sputters out.
Duke Johnson, rookie running back on the Cleveland Browns should have his breakout game this week in my best guess. While Johnson is not a starter, the Browns are playing the San Diego Chargers who happen to be the second worst fantasy defense against running backs. So start 'em Isaiah Crowell and sign him Duke Johnson.
Wide receivers contain a familiar name that you will hate in Percy Harvin, but Taylor has to throw it to someone and Sammy Watkins is out. Pick him up, start him without shame. Rishard Matthews is an iffy recommendation from me to you, but that's mostly because I don't think that you can start him this week, but you can for most of the rest of the season. I don't know that he's going to survive through your waiver wire until next week though.
Kenny Britt is a desperation play, but I think that he can get you a floor of around 10 points in a PPR and my final recommendation for receivers is Leonard Hankerson again. Get him, the Falcons are throwing it way too much at Julio Jones (great FanDuel this week) and Hankerson has passed White as I said earlier.
The tight ends have a guy that is a top five tight end play for me this week. Grab him, especially if you have Rob Gronkowski on a bye this week. That player is none other than the Buffalo Bills Charles Clay, I mentioned earlier when advocating for Harvin, Taylor has to throw the ball to someone that isn't Watkins and Clay is that dude. Clay is also playing the New York Giants who are the fifth worst defense in fantasy football against tight ends. Get Clay, play Clay all day I say.
Ladarius Green is getting his last game in before Antonio Gates returns from suspension (pick up Gates this week, start him next week), but Green should be available for you to pick up and start this week as well (if you don't like my Clay play, which you may). If you go with Green monitor his concussion situation he is still not cleared.
Larry Donnell from the New York baseball Giants is one that I drafted in most leagues this year and then quickly cut, then he made me look bad for cutting him, then he made me look good. Now he may make me look bad for recommending Clay is what I say today. Donnell scores like three at a time, when he goes off he wins you your week. He only goes off like twice a year though. The Bills (Donnell's opponent and Clay's current payday check issuing care au lait) are the NFL's sixth worst defense against fantasy tight ends.
If you need a kicker or advice, I don't really know what to tell you. I've got this, the Oakland Raiders give up the third most fantasy points to kickers and they are playing Robbie Gould this week, I bet he's available in your league.
Now a days everybody wants to talk like they've got something to say, but some of you already forgot about Clay.
Get Charles Clay.
Get called shiesty this Monday and Tuesday:
Want to get called shiesty next week when people go to grab someone on your waiver wire and he's sitting safely on your bench?
I'm going to project Tennessee Titans running back Antonio Andrews is that guy. He had a humble 13 carries for 61 yards, but he grabbed a touchdown and had another called back. So, he was one holding penalty away from being a top fifteen running back in fantasy last week.
Andrews passed Bishop Sankey in plays on Sunday, though Dexter McCluster was on the field more than Andrews, Andrews is going to be the guy sooner rather than later.
You forgot about Clay. Don't forget about him. Especially in daily where he is going to save you a bunch of cash (and make you twice what he saves you), however I have an even cheaper guy than Clay in my top five FanDuel fantasy plays (hint, it's Eric Ebron, who does not rhyme with Clay unfortunately).
Go with these guys:
QB: Russell Wilson, Cam Newton, Tyrod Taylor, Matt Ryan, Andy Dalton
RB: Marshawn Lynch, Jamaal Charles, Eddie Lacy, LeVeon Bell, Devonta Freeman
WR: Julio Jones, Antonio Brown, Larry Fitzgerald, Randall Cobb, Steve Smith
TE: Jimmy Graham, Greg Olsen, Travis Kelce, Eric Ebron, Jordan Reed
Avoid these guys:
QB: Ryan Tannehill, Nick Foles, Teddy Bridgewater, Ryan Fitzpatrick, Brandon Weeden
RB: Alfred Morris, Rashad Jennings, DeMarco Murray, Jeremy Hill, Ameeer Abdullah
WR: Torrey Smith, Alshon Jeffery, Terrance Williams, John Brown, Steve Johnson
TE: Kyle Rudolph, Vernon Davis, Zach Ertz, Coby Fleener, Jared Cook
Owen Daniels... He was the biggest sleeper on the Denver Broncos in week 3. Owen Daniels, even Virgil Green somehow managed to look better than Daniels and Daniels scored a touchdown.
I think that it's safe to start Demaryius Thomas, Emmanuel Sanders, Brandon McManus and Denver's defense for the rest of the season barring injury in any format.
That leaves the conundrums that are Manning and Anderson. Well, with Ty Sambrailo going some confusing injury definitions I am going to say that the NFL's worst rushing team just got worse. This probably only helps Manning, but the Broncos eventually will get their running game popping. I just think that when they do it will be Ronnie Hillman, not Anderson leading the way.
The Minnesota Vikings are the 11th best fantasy defense in the NFL against running backs, to put that in perspective the Baltimore Ravens are the fifth best, the Kansas City Chiefs the fourth best and the Detroit Lions are the 12th worst. The Lions were the fifth worst heading into Week 3 and then they played the Brincos.
So do with that information what you would like. I don't like Anderson this week under any circumstances, emergency or otherwise.
Five worst fantasy defenses to QBs (worst to fifth worth): Saints, Texans, Bills, Ravens, Steelers
Five best fantasy defenses to QBs (best to fifth best): Broncos, Jets, Cardinals, Rams, Chargers
Five worst fantasy defenses to RBs (worst to fifth worst): Falcons, Chargers, Browns, Buccaneers, 49ers
Five best fantasy defenses to RBs (best to fifth best): Chiefs, Seahawks, Steelers, Redskins, Ravens
Five worst fantasy defenses to WRs (worst to fifth worst): Chiefs, Ravens, Bills, 49ers, Eagles
Join me on Twitter where I'll get to your questions one-on-one, I'm there two hours before game time on Sunday too.