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First thing's first...
The highest scoring fantasy football lineup you could have had last week went like this: Josh McCown, Doug Martin, Devonta Freeman*, Andre Johnson, Allen Robinson, Julian Edelman*, Antonio Gates*, Caleb Sturgis and Denver D/ST*. (*- a recommend start in this column last week)
Let's not count kickers, that means that I gave you 50% of the highest possible scoring lineup for week 5. Not like, 'These guys will do well and they did!' But, you beasted out in league play and won some good money in DFS if you followed my recommendation.
And to be fair, if someone insisted that you play Josh McCown and Andre Johnson last week, then just give them your money and do what they say.
I have no idea what I am doing...
But if you listen to me you'll disagree with my humble sarcasm next week.
League Play Waiver Wire:
I don't know whether you want a recap of last week here or not, if you listened to me last week you did very well, basically. My major flub last week was saying to bench Thomas Rawls, but that was me recommending on Thursday something that couldn't be decided until Sunday. So, I hope that you went elsewhere for that recommendation.
Is an elite defense enough to win a Super Bowl?
Let's look at some NFL history to see how we compare to other great defenses - and more importantly, to see if an elite defense and average offense is enough to bring the Lombardi trophy home.
Colin Kaepernick is my highest rated player in week 6 in nearly every format, he is currently owned in just 51% of Yahoo leagues and he is playing the worst defense to fantasy quarterbacks (Baltimore). Grab him and start him if you are iffy about who to start at quarterback. He's coming off of a week 5 performance of 20 points in standard leagues, which made him the 9th best quarterback last week and ranked him above fantasy stalwarts Carson Palmer, Aaron Rodgers, Matt Ryan and Russell Wilson.
Since he's owned in just over half of Yahoo leagues, a deeper suggestion for you is Jacksonville's Blake Bortles (owned in 35% of Yahoo leagues), I have him projected as the 3rd best quarterback play this week. I have Marcus Mariota projected as the 4th best quarterback play this week. Bortles plays the Texans and their 7th worst fantasy defense to quarterbacks and Mariota gets Miami's 14th worst fantasy defense to quarterbacks.
Keep in mind that as of Wednesday night both Tyrod Taylor and Ben Roethlisberger say they are playing in week 6. Actually, check your wavier wires for Roethlisberger, he was available in two of my expert leagues this week.
Running backs, last week Thomas Rawls (22 points in standard scoring for week 5), Shane Vereen (16), Charles Sims (13), Theo Riddick (11) and Marcel Reece (10) all far outplayed their projections. Nearly all well be available on most waiver wires this week, but they all have caveats. Rawls may play second fiddle to Marshawn Lynch, Vereen is hit or miss and PPR dependent, Sims has a good game whenever Doug Martin does (the last two weeks in a row), Riddick is PPR dependent and probably the safest off of this list and Reece I would go ahead and stash if you think that Oakland is going to tire of Latavius Murray.
Sims and Reece are both on bye this week, so heads up if you're looking to start them it will have to be next week.
For waiver recommendations at running back this week I recommend LeGarrette Blount, Charcandrick West, Daniel Herron and Theo Riddick.
Blount's likely gone in your league, but he is projected to be my 7th best running back in week 6, West is likely gone as well, but I really think that people are throwing out the baby with the bathwater by not picking up Knile Davis. Davis is owned in 41% of Yahoo leagues, but we have to go with Matthew Berry's, 'What's most likely to happen?' theme. Every time Davis takes over for Jamaal Charles he becomes one of the best running backs in fantasy football. Daniel 'Dan' 'Boom' Herron got the better of his carries going head-to-head with Boobie Dixon last week for Buffalo. Herron is owned in just 4% of Yahoo leagues and though he may not start, he's likely getting more of the carries. Riddick you have my recommendation on above, if you're in a PPR league and desperate get him in as a flex at least.
Keep in mind: as of Thursday morning LeSean McCoy is practicing on a limited basis, but Karlos Williams remains in the NFL's concussion protocol, so if McCoy or Williams go don't play Herron obviously.
In week 5 Andre Johnson (19), Allen Hurns (17), Jaelen Strong (17), Marquess Wilson (14), Willie Snead (14), Markus Wheaton (13), Josh Huff (13) all outperformed the likes of Larry Fitzgerald, Julio Jones, Emmanuel Sanders and T.Y. Hilton.
The Tape Doesn't Lie - The Running Game Part 2
Today we will be looking at two more running plays from the Raiders game to try and uncover the truth, because as we all know, ‘The Tape Doesn’t Lie’.
I don't think that Johnson, Strong, Wheaton or Huff find success two weeks in a row, but Hurns is someone that needs to be in your starting lineup for week 6. He's not available on your waiver wire anyway, but Marquess Wilson and Willie Snead likely are. I project Wilson as my 16th best wide receiver for week 6 (just barely above Antonio Brown, for perspective). Wilson is only owned in 11% of Yahoo leagues and is currently Chicago's number one receiver with Eddie Royal and Alshon Jeffery iffy. Willie Snead came as a highest recommendation from me last week and tied for 10th best week 5 fantasy receiver (with Wilson actually), but he is now owned in 66% of Yahoo leagues. Guess the secret is out on New Orleans' best receiver whose situation just got even better.
Kamar Aiken (my 29th ranked week 6 wide receiver), Marquess WIlson (my 32nd), Leonard Hankerson (34th), Ted Ginn (35th) and Stefon Diggs (36th) are all projected to nab touchdowns by me in week 6. I went into Wilson's appeal in the previous paragraph, but Hankerson has some major upside if Julio Jones is going to be limited tonight. Diggs I get into details on below in my 'Shiesty' section.
For tight ends: Antonio Gates (21 points in standard scoring), Tyler Eifert (21), Gary Barnidge (19), Brent Celek (10), Benjamin Watson (9), Jacob Tamme (9) and Larry Donnell (9) were the top 5 fantasy tight ends in week 5. Eifert was the only one projected to be there, Gates came as my highest recommendation last week, Barnidge proved to be legit, but Celek, Watson, Tamme and Donnell are not dependable as every week tight ends.
This week I have Delanie Walker as my only real sleeper on the waiver wire at tight end, but him being owned in 81% of Yahoo leagues is going to make him likely impossible to find on your waiver wire. If you need a recommendation on the waiver wire for week 6 let me recommend Zach Ertz (my projected 11th best tight end this week), Richard Rodgers (projected 14) or Derek Carrier (16).
I expect all of those guys to get touchdowns by the way, but tight ends are a unique fantasy position, especially if you can play one as a flex in your league. So keep those bottom dwellers as an option if you are confused at your flex position.
Do yourself a favor real quick and check your waiver wire for Antonio Gates, he is available in 12% of Yahoo leagues right now. He is projected as my number one tight end this week.
For defenses, I hate projecting defenses, but if you need a sleeper defense, check out Atlanta at New Orleans, Pittsburgh vs. Arizona, if you're feeling super froggy and just want to jump New York Giants at Philadelphia. The Giants are the fourth best defense in fantasy football.
If you're looking for a kicker? Go with whoever is playing Jacksonville, they are giving up the most points to fantasy kickers. The Texans currently employ Nick Novak as a kicker.
Get called shiesty this Monday and Tuesday:
My week 4 call Antonio Andrews got you 10 points in standard scoring in week 5 if you started him, my week 5 call Derek Carrier got you 8 points in standard scoring (9th best amongst fantasy tight ends).
My week 6 recommendation to you comes in two parts, I think that Colin Kaepernick (owned in 51% of Yahoo leagues) will have his best game of the season, so if you're desperate play him in week 6, but no one will call you shiesty. I don't think that anyone will rush to the waiver wire to grab him.
For that effect add wide receiver Stefon Diggs of the Minnesota Vikings. Broncos fans will remember him and his his 10 targets, 6 catches for 87 yards. Well, he had a bye in week 5, but if he did that to Denver and their number one pass defense, then what is he going to do to the Chiefs who are fantasy's worst defense against wide receivers?
Also, check out running back Christine Michael from Dallas. He took bye week first team reps and who knows what the Cowboys are going to have to do to win with Matt Cassel starting in week 7.
What fun is FanDuel if you don't get the satisfaction of grabbing someone on the cheap and watching them light up your scoreboard and wallet?
These are my recommends this week:
Go with these guys::
QB - Colin Kaepernick, Blake Bortles, Marcus Mariota, Sam Bradford, Eli Manning
RB - Devonta Freeman, Matt Forte, LeVeon Bell, Arian Foster, Dion Lewis, LeGarrette Blount, Frank Gore, Giovani Bernard, Mark Ingram
WR - Odell Beckham, Larry Fitzgerald, Calvin Johnson, AJ Green, DeAndre Hopkins, Allen Robinson, Jordan Matthews, T.Y. Hilton
TE - Rob Gronkowski, Antonio Gates, Travis Kelce, Tyler Eifert, Greg Olsen, Delanie Walker, Martellus Bennett, Gary Bardnidge
Avoid these guys:
QB - Kirk Cousins, Peyton Manning, Teddy Bridgewater, Jay Cutler, Ryan Fitzpatrick, Josh McCown.
RB - Ryan Mathews, Shane Vereen, Anthony Dixon, James Starks, Andre Ellington, Alfred Williams, Tevin Coleman
WR - Sammy Watkins, Percy Harvin, Jermaine Kearse, Ty Montgomery, Mike Wallace, Martavis Bryant, Keith Mumphery
TE - Owen Daniels, Julius Thomas, Darren Fells, Coby Fleener, Jacob Tamme
What a mess. Start Emmanuel Sanders, Demaryius Thomas is one of my highest rated wide receivers in week 5, but who can trust Peyton Manning? Not me, not anymore, not in fantasy, I'd bet on him to win the game, but not to win you any fantasy matchups.
Manning has thrown 6 touchdowns this season and 7 interceptions, his opponent this week Cleveland's Josh McCown has thrown 6 touchdowns and 1 interception. Let's just put it that way.
Five worst fantasy defenses to QBs (worst to fifth): Ravens, Chiefs, Saints, 49ers, Browns, Lions
Five best fantasy defenses to QB (best to fifth): Broncos, Jets, Panthers Cardinals, Packers
Five worst fantasy defenses to RBs (worst to fifth): Chargers, Falcons, Browns, Jaguars, 49ers
Five best fantasy defenses to RBs (best to fifth): Seahawks, Steelers, Jets, Redskins, Eagles
Five worst fantasy defenses to WRs (worst to fifth): Chiefs, Ravens, Colts, Eagles, 49ers
Five best fantasy defenses to WRs (best to fifth): Broncos, Chargers, Seahawks, Packers, Jaguars