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One of the measuring sticks that separates the good from the not-so-good QBs in the NFL is the ability to get first downs on third down, the ability to move the chains. One of the reasons our offense has been failing for most of the year is an inability to get first downs on third down.
Trevor Siemian has been bad at it this year and you can’t blame the running game. Denver is currently the second best team in the league at converting via the run on 3rd and short (1-3 yards needed) - having converted on 10 of 11 runs (90.9%). Trevor has thrown the ball 78 times on 3rd down this year and only 27 of those throws have resulted in a first down - 34.6%. You’ll see shortly how that compares to other NFL QBs, but it’s not great. So let’s look at the numbers.
In order to be able to see what Brock Osweiler has done in this department, the time-frame that I looked at was the start of the 2015 season until now. So we’ll get a comparative look at Brock, Trevor Siemian and anyone else who has thrown 20 or more 3rd down passes over the last two and a half seasons.
You’ll note that I didn’t look at or for 3rd down conversions by QB scramble. Conversion % is simply number of first downs divided by number of passing attempts (I also did not try to factor 3rd down sacks taken into this, although I could have).
Rank | Player | Cmp | Att | Cmp% | Yds | TD | Int | Sk | Y/A | 1D | Conversion% | Rate |
1 | Matt Barkley | 29 | 50 | 58.0 | 363 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7.3 | 25 | 50.0% | 62.3 |
2 | Tom Brady | 228 | 351 | 65.0 | 3148 | 26 | 3 | 31 | 9 | 166 | 47.3% | 114.7 |
3 | Matt Ryan | 229 | 349 | 65.6 | 2662 | 17 | 5 | 36 | 7.6 | 163 | 46.7% | 98.8 |
4 | Josh McCown | 142 | 210 | 67.6 | 1896 | 15 | 6 | 26 | 9 | 98 | 46.7% | 108 |
5 | Drew Brees | 268 | 397 | 67.5 | 3240 | 20 | 10 | 20 | 8.2 | 185 | 46.6% | 98.6 |
6 | Ryan Mallett | 55 | 84 | 65.5 | 457 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 5.4 | 39 | 46.4% | 85.3 |
7 | Carson Palmer | 231 | 373 | 61.9 | 2837 | 25 | 10 | 33 | 7.6 | 169 | 45.3% | 96.6 |
8 | Ben Roethlisberger | 192 | 322 | 59.6 | 2811 | 21 | 10 | 19 | 8.7 | 145 | 45.0% | 96.9 |
9 | Aaron Rodgers | 192 | 326 | 58.9 | 2632 | 27 | 8 | 50 | 8.1 | 144 | 44.2% | 102.2 |
10 | Andrew Luck | 112 | 196 | 57.1 | 1311 | 12 | 6 | 26 | 6.7 | 86 | 43.9% | 85.2 |
11 | Russell Wilson | 215 | 354 | 60.7 | 2710 | 19 | 6 | 35 | 7.7 | 155 | 43.8% | 95.4 |
12 | Jameis Winston | 208 | 368 | 56.5 | 2621 | 16 | 16 | 28 | 7.1 | 160 | 43.5% | 75.2 |
13 | Kirk Cousins | 247 | 385 | 64.2 | 2935 | 25 | 12 | 26 | 7.6 | 166 | 43.1% | 96 |
14 | Johnny Manziel | 36 | 63 | 57.1 | 482 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 7.7 | 27 | 42.9% | 94.8 |
15 | Mike Glennon | 30 | 42 | 71.4 | 304 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7.2 | 18 | 42.9% | 87.8 |
16 | Carson Wentz | 136 | 232 | 58.6 | 1660 | 11 | 7 | 17 | 7.2 | 99 | 42.7% | 84 |
17 | Dak Prescott | 125 | 191 | 65.4 | 1370 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 7.2 | 80 | 41.9% | 93.5 |
18 | Deshaun Watson | 25 | 43 | 58.1 | 227 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5.3 | 18 | 41.9% | 86.1 |
19 | Tyrod Taylor | 189 | 316 | 59.8 | 2254 | 18 | 8 | 42 | 7.1 | 131 | 41.5% | 90.1 |
20 | Matt Hasselbeck | 40 | 70 | 57.1 | 463 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 6.6 | 29 | 41.4% | 68.9 |
21 | Matthew Stafford | 219 | 368 | 59.5 | 2656 | 16 | 14 | 39 | 7.2 | 152 | 41.3% | 80.4 |
22 | Marcus Mariota | 175 | 303 | 57.8 | 2335 | 15 | 8 | 24 | 7.7 | 125 | 41.3% | 87.8 |
23 | Philip Rivers | 248 | 405 | 61.2 | 2891 | 17 | 15 | 39 | 7.1 | 167 | 41.2% | 81.4 |
24 | Andy Dalton | 182 | 307 | 59.3 | 2353 | 18 | 10 | 34 | 7.7 | 126 | 41.0% | 89.4 |
25 | Matt Moore | 30 | 52 | 57.7 | 405 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 7.8 | 21 | 40.4% | 105 |
26 | Jay Cutler | 143 | 232 | 61.6 | 1787 | 9 | 3 | 30 | 7.7 | 92 | 39.7% | 93.1 |
27 | Teddy Bridgewater | 88 | 132 | 66.7 | 1043 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 7.9 | 52 | 39.4% | 98.8 |
28 | Cam Newton | 180 | 353 | 51.0 | 2584 | 23 | 15 | 38 | 7.3 | 138 | 39.1% | 79.1 |
29 | Brock Osweiler | 131 | 221 | 59.3 | 1349 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 6.1 | 86 | 38.9% | 74.7 |
30 | Alex Smith | 201 | 321 | 62.6 | 2109 | 7 | 5 | 38 | 6.6 | 123 | 38.3% | 82.4 |
31 | Case Keenum | 113 | 201 | 56.2 | 1233 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 6.1 | 77 | 38.3% | 78.2 |
32 | Trevor Siemian | 118 | 204 | 57.8 | 1483 | 13 | 8 | 19 | 7.3 | 78 | 38.2% | 85.5 |
33 | Blake Bortles | 202 | 387 | 52.2 | 2238 | 13 | 16 | 48 | 5.8 | 147 | 38.0% | 63.6 |
34 | Ryan Fitzpatrick | 156 | 277 | 56.3 | 1764 | 14 | 10 | 17 | 6.4 | 105 | 37.9% | 77.4 |
35 | Sam Bradford | 194 | 314 | 61.8 | 1820 | 13 | 5 | 27 | 5.8 | 119 | 37.9% | 84.9 |
36 | Derek Carr | 222 | 380 | 58.4 | 2634 | 17 | 8 | 24 | 6.9 | 144 | 37.9% | 85.8 |
37 | Brian Hoyer | 126 | 214 | 58.9 | 1383 | 9 | 2 | 20 | 6.5 | 81 | 37.9% | 88.2 |
38 | Eli Manning | 232 | 401 | 57.9 | 2596 | 21 | 12 | 28 | 6.5 | 149 | 37.2% | 82.3 |
39 | Joe Flacco | 206 | 346 | 59.5 | 2271 | 11 | 7 | 41 | 6.6 | 125 | 36.1% | 81.2 |
40 | Jacoby Brissett | 50 | 92 | 54.3 | 568 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 6.2 | 33 | 35.9% | 79.4 |
41 | Jared Goff | 82 | 135 | 60.7 | 885 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 6.6 | 48 | 35.6% | 88 |
42 | Cody Kessler | 36 | 62 | 58.1 | 347 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 5.6 | 21 | 33.9% | 65.7 |
43 | Matt Cassel | 53 | 89 | 59.6 | 600 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 6.7 | 30 | 33.7% | 86.4 |
44 | Ryan Tannehill | 160 | 279 | 57.3 | 1944 | 12 | 8 | 24 | 7 | 94 | 33.7% | 81.3 |
45 | Peyton Manning | 54 | 99 | 54.5 | 566 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 5.7 | 32 | 32.3% | 51.2 |
46 | Colin Kaepernick | 88 | 164 | 53.7 | 1026 | 6 | 3 | 27 | 6.3 | 53 | 32.3% | 77.4 |
47 | DeShone Kizer | 25 | 56 | 44.6 | 310 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 5.5 | 15 | 26.8% | 32.6 |
48 | Zach Mettenberger | 24 | 45 | 53.3 | 207 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4.6 | 11 | 24.4% | 45.3 |
49 | Blaine Gabbert | 74 | 130 | 56.9 | 678 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 5.2 | 31 | 23.8% | 71.3 |
50 | Nick Foles | 62 | 136 | 45.6 | 694 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 5.1 | 31 | 22.8% | 58.3 |
Of the QBs who are full-time starters, Tom Brady (47.3%) has been the best at this while Ryan Tannehill (33.7%) has been the worst. So out of the 52 QBs who qualified (min 50 attempts) Brock was 29th in conversion% (38.9%) while Trevor has been just slightly worse over the course of his career at 38.2% (32nd ranked). My apologies to those who read this earlier when I had the wrong table in this piece in the first slot.
That’s the good news.
The bad news, if you are hoping Brock can improve the offense greatly, is that Brock is ranked 41st of 50 in terms of passer rating on 3rd down (74.7) - slightly better than Blake Bortles. Trevor actually ranks 24th in 3rd down passer rating despite faring poorly in 2017 (85.5). So let’s break this down further into yards needed to gain on third down.
Converting via the pass on 3rd and short (1-3 yards) 2015 to present
Again I did not include sacks, scrambles or QB sneaks into this, but here are the guys who have done the best at converting third and short via the pass. I used 20 attempts as the minimum again for each sectional breakdown.
Rank | Player | Cmp | Att | Cmp% | Yds | TD | Int | Sk | Yds | Y/A | 1D | Conversion % | Rate |
1 | Ryan Mallett | 16 | 21 | 76.2 | 137 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 | 16 | 76.2% | 124.5 |
2 | Matt Ryan | 50 | 68 | 73.5 | 535 | 10 | 0 | 8 | -46 | 7.9 | 48 | 70.6% | 135.7 |
3 | Dak Prescott | 23 | 33 | 69.7 | 276 | 3 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 8.4 | 23 | 69.7% | 112.7 |
4 | Carson Palmer | 59 | 81 | 72.8 | 626 | 10 | 0 | 4 | -30 | 7.7 | 55 | 67.9% | 134.6 |
5 | Sam Bradford | 38 | 53 | 71.7 | 313 | 6 | 1 | 5 | -40 | 5.9 | 35 | 66.0% | 116.3 |
6 | Josh McCown | 33 | 47 | 70.2 | 422 | 7 | 0 | 4 | -22 | 9 | 31 | 66.0% | 137.6 |
7 | Carson Wentz | 25 | 38 | 65.8 | 230 | 3 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 6.1 | 25 | 65.8% | 97.5 |
8 | Ryan Tannehill | 28 | 43 | 65.1 | 365 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8.5 | 28 | 65.1% | 120.8 |
9 | Tom Brady | 50 | 73 | 68.5 | 566 | 6 | 1 | 5 | -32 | 7.8 | 47 | 64.4% | 113.2 |
10 | Drew Brees | 55 | 81 | 67.9 | 536 | 8 | 2 | 1 | -9 | 6.6 | 51 | 63.0% | 108.9 |
11 | Jared Goff | 15 | 24 | 62.5 | 185 | 3 | 1 | 2 | -8 | 7.7 | 15 | 62.5% | 108.5 |
12 | Ben Roethlisberger | 53 | 82 | 64.6 | 718 | 10 | 0 | 5 | -28 | 8.8 | 51 | 62.2% | 132.0 |
13 | Jameis Winston | 47 | 73 | 64.4 | 558 | 9 | 2 | 4 | -17 | 7.6 | 45 | 61.6% | 115.8 |
14 | Case Keenum | 27 | 39 | 69.2 | 319 | 3 | 0 | 2 | -11 | 8.2 | 24 | 61.5% | 119.5 |
15 | Russell Wilson | 49 | 75 | 65.3 | 516 | 5 | 0 | 4 | -32 | 6.9 | 46 | 61.3% | 107.4 |
16 | Teddy Bridgewater | 16 | 25 | 64 | 230 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 9.2 | 15 | 60.0% | 107.1 |
17 | Colin Kaepernick | 20 | 34 | 58.8 | 266 | 3 | 1 | 2 | -16 | 7.8 | 20 | 58.8% | 100.9 |
18 | Matthew Stafford | 56 | 84 | 66.7 | 528 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -31 | 6.3 | 49 | 58.3% | 84.8 |
19 | Brian Hoyer | 26 | 43 | 60.5 | 248 | 4 | 1 | 2 | -18 | 5.8 | 25 | 58.1% | 97.8 |
20 | Blake Bortles | 47 | 73 | 64.4 | 395 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -54 | 5.4 | 42 | 57.5% | 87.4 |
21 | Jay Cutler | 31 | 52 | 59.6 | 467 | 4 | 3 | 3 | -18 | 9 | 29 | 55.8% | 90.8 |
22 | Tyrod Taylor | 36 | 56 | 64.3 | 256 | 6 | 2 | 9 | -54 | 4.6 | 31 | 55.4% | 95.5 |
23 | Aaron Rodgers | 48 | 78 | 61.5 | 651 | 10 | 1 | 3 | -24 | 8.3 | 43 | 55.1% | 122.4 |
24 | Andrew Luck | 29 | 51 | 56.9 | 202 | 5 | 2 | 9 | -55 | 4 | 28 | 54.9% | 82.3 |
25 | Kirk Cousins | 46 | 78 | 59 | 548 | 6 | 1 | 4 | -35 | 7 | 42 | 53.8% | 100.8 |
26 | Philip Rivers | 43 | 75 | 57.3 | 343 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -23 | 4.6 | 40 | 53.3% | 65.6 |
27 | Alex Smith | 33 | 53 | 62.3 | 267 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -28 | 5 | 28 | 52.8% | 79.7 |
28 | Eli Manning | 50 | 89 | 56.2 | 632 | 10 | 2 | 2 | -8 | 7.1 | 47 | 52.8% | 106.6 |
29 | Cam Newton | 33 | 62 | 53.2 | 500 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -26 | 8.1 | 32 | 51.6% | 94.8 |
30 | Trevor Siemian | 17 | 34 | 50 | 208 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -25 | 6.1 | 17 | 50.0% | 96.2 |
31 | Marcus Mariota | 35 | 66 | 53 | 459 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -16 | 7 | 33 | 50.0% | 76.5 |
32 | Brock Osweiler | 22 | 38 | 57.9 | 186 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -43 | 4.9 | 19 | 50.0% | 46.6 |
33 | Andy Dalton | 34 | 65 | 52.3 | 350 | 5 | 2 | 4 | -32 | 5.4 | 32 | 49.2% | 80.9 |
34 | Derek Carr | 39 | 70 | 55.7 | 350 | 5 | 2 | 2 | -12 | 5 | 34 | 48.6% | 81.3 |
35 | Joe Flacco | 42 | 67 | 62.7 | 404 | 4 | 0 | 3 | -33 | 6 | 32 | 47.8% | 99.3 |
36 | Ryan Fitzpatrick | 23 | 44 | 52.3 | 211 | 4 | 2 | 1 | -12 | 4.8 | 20 | 45.5% | 77.0 |
I was not surprised to see Matt Ryan, Carson Palmer and Sam Bradford near the top here, but I was surprised to see Dak Prescott given how poorly he has fared overall at converting on 3rd down. Trevor (30th) and Brock (32nd) are near the bottom of the 36 qualifying QBs.
The range (among full-time starters) here is a lot larger than the overall range with Matt Ryan converting at 70.6% over this time frame on 3rd and short and Ryan Fitzpatrick converting at 45.5%. I was also surprised to see how poor Derek Carr has been at this.
Converting via the pass on 3rd and medium (4-6 yards) 2015 to present
Rank | Player | Cmp | Att | Cmp% | Yds | TD | Int | Sk | Yds | Y/A | 1D | Conversion % | Rate |
1 | Tom Brady | 60 | 91 | 65.9 | 883 | 9 | 1 | 6 | -31 | 9.7 | 55 | 60.4% | 125.8 |
2 | Carson Wentz | 38 | 59 | 64.4 | 417 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -29 | 7.1 | 35 | 59.3% | 100.7 |
3 | Kirk Cousins | 82 | 122 | 67.2 | 970 | 11 | 5 | 11 | -78 | 8 | 69 | 56.6% | 104.2 |
4 | Matt Ryan | 67 | 100 | 67 | 707 | 2 | 2 | 9 | -76 | 7.1 | 56 | 56.0% | 85.7 |
5 | Drew Brees | 74 | 108 | 68.5 | 971 | 6 | 1 | 8 | -52 | 9 | 60 | 55.6% | 111.3 |
6 | Alex Smith | 61 | 90 | 67.8 | 655 | 2 | 0 | 12 | -76 | 7.3 | 48 | 53.3% | 96.3 |
7 | Dak Prescott | 40 | 63 | 63.5 | 424 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -24 | 6.7 | 33 | 52.4% | 93.6 |
8 | Andy Dalton | 51 | 80 | 63.7 | 577 | 6 | 3 | 8 | -43 | 7.2 | 41 | 51.3% | 94.6 |
9 | Matthew Stafford | 51 | 88 | 58 | 548 | 4 | 5 | 12 | -82 | 6.2 | 45 | 51.1% | 67.8 |
10 | Brian Hoyer | 29 | 53 | 54.7 | 291 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -32 | 5.5 | 27 | 50.9% | 75.3 |
11 | Josh McCown | 35 | 55 | 63.6 | 450 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -40 | 8.2 | 28 | 50.9% | 84.7 |
12 | Brock Osweiler | 40 | 69 | 58 | 427 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -24 | 6.2 | 35 | 50.7% | 75.0 |
13 | Aaron Rodgers | 51 | 87 | 58.6 | 588 | 10 | 4 | 10 | -78 | 6.8 | 44 | 50.6% | 98.3 |
14 | Andrew Luck | 28 | 46 | 60.9 | 250 | 4 | 1 | 2 | -5 | 5.4 | 23 | 50.0% | 95.4 |
15 | Russell Wilson | 58 | 102 | 56.9 | 588 | 5 | 2 | 10 | -45 | 5.8 | 50 | 49.0% | 81.7 |
16 | Eli Manning | 61 | 107 | 57 | 655 | 9 | 4 | 13 | -90 | 6.1 | 52 | 48.6% | 87.6 |
17 | Philip Rivers | 69 | 103 | 67 | 763 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -46 | 7.4 | 50 | 48.5% | 88.0 |
18 | Jared Goff | 20 | 31 | 64.5 | 252 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -10 | 8.1 | 15 | 48.4% | 111.2 |
19 | Marcus Mariota | 49 | 85 | 57.6 | 669 | 7 | 2 | 6 | -37 | 7.9 | 41 | 48.2% | 100.6 |
20 | Carson Palmer | 48 | 85 | 56.5 | 504 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -94 | 5.9 | 40 | 47.1% | 73.8 |
21 | Jameis Winston | 55 | 107 | 51.4 | 590 | 4 | 3 | 9 | -61 | 5.5 | 50 | 46.7% | 68.7 |
22 | Ryan Fitzpatrick | 45 | 73 | 61.6 | 487 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -43 | 6.7 | 34 | 46.6% | 89.2 |
23 | Sam Bradford | 51 | 91 | 56 | 434 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -61 | 4.8 | 42 | 46.2% | 78.7 |
24 | Joe Flacco | 64 | 112 | 57.1 | 693 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -169 | 6.2 | 51 | 45.5% | 69.5 |
25 | Matt Moore | 11 | 20 | 55 | 154 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7.7 | 9 | 45.0% | 75.8 |
26 | Blake Bortles | 58 | 118 | 49.2 | 684 | 7 | 5 | 14 | -103 | 5.8 | 52 | 44.1% | 69.3 |
27 | Derek Carr | 51 | 99 | 51.5 | 715 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -30 | 7.2 | 43 | 43.4% | 80.2 |
28 | Cam Newton | 45 | 91 | 49.5 | 575 | 9 | 5 | 5 | -42 | 6.3 | 39 | 42.9% | 79.7 |
29 | Ben Roethlisberger | 53 | 101 | 52.5 | 736 | 8 | 5 | 3 | -27 | 7.3 | 43 | 42.6% | 82.0 |
30 | Matt Cassel | 19 | 33 | 57.6 | 159 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -8 | 4.8 | 14 | 42.4% | 90.3 |
31 | Blaine Gabbert | 14 | 26 | 53.8 | 180 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -9 | 6.9 | 11 | 42.3% | 101.4 |
32 | Tyrod Taylor | 42 | 81 | 51.9 | 477 | 4 | 0 | 13 | -83 | 5.9 | 34 | 42.0% | 86.3 |
33 | Case Keenum | 34 | 68 | 50 | 297 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -52 | 4.4 | 28 | 41.2% | 60.7 |
34 | Jay Cutler | 35 | 60 | 58.3 | 384 | 3 | 0 | 8 | -39 | 6.4 | 24 | 40.0% | 94.0 |
35 | Jacoby Brissett | 16 | 30 | 53.3 | 187 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -7 | 6.2 | 12 | 40.0% | 69.7 |
36 | Peyton Manning | 16 | 28 | 57.1 | 116 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -8 | 4.1 | 11 | 39.3% | 64.0 |
37 | Matt Hasselbeck | 9 | 23 | 39.1 | 153 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -29 | 6.7 | 9 | 39.1% | 58.8 |
38 | Trevor Siemian | 28 | 52 | 53.8 | 339 | 6 | 1 | 3 | -29 | 6.5 | 20 | 38.5% | 104.6 |
39 | Nick Foles | 18 | 43 | 41.9 | 268 | 4 | 0 | 4 | -31 | 6.2 | 15 | 34.9% | 93.9 |
40 | Teddy Bridgewater | 20 | 35 | 57.1 | 208 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -44 | 5.9 | 12 | 34.3% | 100.7 |
41 | Ryan Tannehill | 41 | 80 | 51.2 | 407 | 5 | 2 | 10 | -76 | 5.1 | 26 | 32.5% | 76.4 |
42 | Colin Kaepernick | 14 | 35 | 40 | 156 | 3 | 0 | 7 | -41 | 4.5 | 11 | 31.4% | 82.6 |
No surprise that Tom Brady is the class of the league here (60.4%). I was pleasantly surprised to find Brock ranked 12th here (although he is 33rd if you go by passer rating). Trevor was near the bottom ranking 38th of 42 qualifiers in terms of conversion rate but he was 4th if you sort by passer rating. Colin Kaepernick was the worst among QBs who have thrown 20 or more passing attempts on 3rd and medium over this time frame converting on only 31.4% of his attempts.
Converting via the pass on 3rd and long (7 or more needed) 2015 to present
Ok so onto the most difficult thing for a QB to do - move the chains on 3rd and long. The Bronco offense has not been good at this since 2013, but we need to define what “good” means. See the table.
Rank | Player | Cmp | Att | Cmp% | Yds | TD | Int | Sk | Yds | Y/A | 1D | Conversion % | Rate |
1 | Cody Kessler | 20 | 38 | 52.6% | 268 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -5 | 5.7 | 16 | 42.1% | 87.9 |
2 | Mitch Trubisky | 13 | 18 | 72.2% | 126 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -13 | 5.7 | 7 | 38.9% | 79.0 |
3 | Tony Romo | 11 | 13 | 84.6% | 78 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -12 | 4.1 | 5 | 38.5% | 36.7 |
4 | Matt Hasselbeck | 21 | 34 | 61.8% | 251 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -16 | 9.7 | 13 | 38.2% | 77.6 |
5 | Ben Roethlisberger | 86 | 139 | 61.9% | 1066 | 7 | 7 | 9 | -37 | 6.7 | 51 | 36.7% | 72.0 |
6 | Drew Brees | 139 | 208 | 66.8% | 1707 | 10 | 6 | 16 | -110 | 8.2 | 74 | 35.6% | 90.4 |
7 | Johnny Manziel | 21 | 37 | 56.8% | 260 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -11 | 7.6 | 13 | 35.1% | 60.9 |
8 | Derek Carr | 132 | 211 | 62.6% | 1733 | 6 | 7 | 11 | -83 | 8.3 | 74 | 35.1% | 88.1 |
9 | Brian Hoyer | 71 | 118 | 60.2% | 936 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -84 | 7.9 | 41 | 34.7% | 74.0 |
10 | Jameis Winston | 106 | 188 | 56.4% | 1473 | 3 | 11 | 15 | -116 | 7.8 | 65 | 34.6% | 62.7 |
11 | Matthew Stafford | 112 | 196 | 57.1% | 1569 | 8 | 4 | 17 | -125 | 7.4 | 67 | 34.2% | 89.9 |
12 | Blake Bortles | 97 | 196 | 49.5% | 1509 | 10 | 9 | 28 | -243 | 7.5 | 67 | 34.2% | 73.9 |
13 | Ryan Tannehill | 91 | 156 | 58.3% | 1159 | 4 | 11 | 28 | -145 | 5.9 | 53 | 34.0% | 51.4 |
14 | Philip Rivers | 136 | 227 | 59.9% | 1785 | 13 | 11 | 30 | -197 | 7.9 | 77 | 33.9% | 83.7 |
15 | Drew Stanton | 5 | 15 | 33.3% | 79 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -34 | 3.3 | 5 | 33.3% | 29.7 |
16 | Trevor Siemian | 73 | 118 | 61.9% | 936 | 2 | 0 | 19 | -139 | 7.8 | 39 | 33.1% | 93.6 |
17 | Tom Brady | 118 | 187 | 63.1% | 1431 | 7 | 6 | 19 | -117 | 8.6 | 61 | 32.6% | 88.2 |
18 | Matt Ryan | 112 | 181 | 61.9% | 1420 | 5 | 3 | 19 | -137 | 7.8 | 59 | 32.6% | 88.6 |
19 | Andrew Luck | 55 | 99 | 55.6% | 736 | 4 | 2 | 14 | -91 | 6.5 | 32 | 32.3% | 83.8 |
20 | Russell Wilson | 108 | 177 | 61.0% | 1393 | 7 | 3 | 37 | -281 | 8.7 | 57 | 32.2% | 93.0 |
21 | Ryan Mallett | 31 | 47 | 66.0% | 303 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -47 | 5.9 | 15 | 31.9% | 85.7 |
22 | Jimmy Clausen | 13 | 22 | 59.1% | 147 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -13 | 12.3 | 7 | 31.8% | 143.4 |
23 | Landry Jones | 12 | 22 | 54.5% | 138 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -37 | 6 | 7 | 31.8% | 77.8 |
24 | C.J. Beathard | 9 | 19 | 47.4% | 127 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -42 | 6.7 | 6 | 31.6% | 56.3 |
25 | Kevin Hogan | 2 | 16 | 12.5% | 120 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -32 | 5.5 | 5 | 31.3% | 62.7 |
26 | Carson Palmer | 124 | 207 | 59.9% | 1699 | 11 | 1 | 20 | -120 | 9.1 | 64 | 30.9% | 109.9 |
27 | Alex Smith | 107 | 178 | 60.1% | 1417 | 8 | 6 | 11 | -92 | 7.7 | 55 | 30.9% | 88.5 |
28 | Jay Cutler | 77 | 120 | 64.2% | 981 | 5 | 3 | 17 | -100 | 9.7 | 37 | 30.8% | 104.4 |
29 | Bryce Petty | 16 | 26 | 61.5% | 179 | 1 | 2 | 8 | -59 | 4.7 | 8 | 30.8% | 52.4 |
30 | Matt Moore | 14 | 26 | 53.8% | 173 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -43 | 9.6 | 8 | 30.8% | 120.8 |
31 | Brock Osweiler | 69 | 114 | 60.5% | 859 | 3 | 3 | 15 | -105 | 8.7 | 35 | 30.7% | 82.0 |
32 | Joe Flacco | 100 | 167 | 59.9% | 1207 | 4 | 3 | 14 | -110 | 7.9 | 51 | 30.5% | 85.6 |
33 | Sam Bradford | 105 | 170 | 61.8% | 1357 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -78 | 9.8 | 51 | 30.0% | 86.5 |
34 | Tyrod Taylor | 103 | 167 | 61.7% | 1309 | 2 | 6 | 13 | -90 | 6.4 | 50 | 29.9% | 68.9 |
35 | EJ Manuel | 9 | 24 | 37.5% | 166 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -8 | 6.4 | 7 | 29.2% | 83.2 |
36 | Andy Dalton | 97 | 162 | 59.9% | 1187 | 3 | 4 | 22 | -127 | 6.7 | 47 | 29.0% | 76.2 |
37 | Cam Newton | 102 | 200 | 51.0% | 1580 | 8 | 6 | 23 | -143 | 8.1 | 58 | 29.0% | 84.1 |
38 | Carson Wentz | 73 | 135 | 54.1% | 1013 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -75 | 7.5 | 39 | 28.9% | 72.9 |
39 | Eli Manning | 121 | 205 | 59.0% | 1606 | 9 | 4 | 21 | -193 | 9.1 | 59 | 28.8% | 98.3 |
40 | Josh McCown | 70 | 101 | 69.3% | 844 | 3 | 0 | 13 | -102 | 7.2 | 29 | 28.7% | 90.5 |
41 | Kirk Cousins | 119 | 185 | 64.3% | 1426 | 7 | 5 | 22 | -161 | 8.8 | 53 | 28.6% | 90.2 |
42 | Matt Cassel | 32 | 47 | 68.1% | 304 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -38 | 8.2 | 13 | 27.7% | 79.1 |
43 | Marcus Mariota | 91 | 152 | 59.9% | 1073 | 3 | 3 | 16 | -113 | 6.3 | 42 | 27.6% | 78.4 |
44 | Matt Barkley | 17 | 26 | 65.4% | 217 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -12 | 8.3 | 7 | 26.9% | 84.9 |
45 | Case Keenum | 52 | 94 | 55.3% | 605 | 2 | 2 | 12 | -97 | 8.4 | 25 | 26.6% | 95.0 |
46 | Colin Kaepernick | 54 | 95 | 56.8% | 617 | 2 | 2 | 10 | -66 | 6.6 | 25 | 26.3% | 73.8 |
47 | Aaron Rodgers | 93 | 161 | 57.8% | 1174 | 4 | 3 | 27 | -224 | 7 | 42 | 26.1% | 81.8 |
48 | Robert Griffin | 14 | 23 | 60.9% | 161 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 12.4 | 6 | 26.1% | 143.9 |
49 | Mike Glennon | 15 | 23 | 65.2% | 152 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -19 | 9.5 | 6 | 26.1% | 93.8 |
50 | Blaine Gabbert | 50 | 86 | 58.1% | 604 | 0 | 2 | 18 | -132 | 6.4 | 22 | 25.6% | 67.2 |
51 | Dak Prescott | 62 | 95 | 65.3% | 670 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -48 | 7.1 | 24 | 25.3% | 86.7 |
52 | Ryan Fitzpatrick | 88 | 160 | 55.0% | 1172 | 2 | 5 | 14 | -112 | 7.5 | 40 | 25.0% | 72.9 |
53 | A.J. McCarron | 10 | 16 | 62.5% | 123 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -19 | 8.2 | 4 | 25.0% | 80.7 |
54 | Jimmy Garoppolo | 9 | 12 | 75.0% | 75 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12.5 | 3 | 25.0% | 118.8 |
55 | Peyton Manning | 33 | 58 | 56.9% | 407 | 1 | 0 | 9 | -57 | 8.7 | 14 | 24.1% | 102.0 |
56 | DeShone Kizer | 18 | 38 | 47.4% | 269 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -18 | 7.1 | 9 | 23.7% | 60.1 |
57 | Teddy Bridgewater | 52 | 72 | 72.2% | 422 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -21 | 7.3 | 17 | 23.6% | 61.1 |
58 | Deshaun Watson | 11 | 22 | 50.0% | 141 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7.1 | 5 | 22.7% | 54.4 |
59 | Jared Goff | 47 | 80 | 58.8% | 448 | 2 | 2 | 13 | -114 | 5.6 | 18 | 22.5% | 72.3 |
60 | Jacoby Brissett | 28 | 51 | 54.9% | 332 | 0 | 5 | 1 | -7 | 4.3 | 11 | 21.6% | 32.6 |
61 | Brandon Weeden | 15 | 21 | 71.4% | 137 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -16 | 5.5 | 4 | 19.0% | 32.0 |
62 | Nick Foles | 37 | 78 | 47.4% | 429 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -61 | 5 | 14 | 17.9% | 64.5 |
63 | Zach Mettenberger | 14 | 25 | 56.0% | 168 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -27 | 8 | 4 | 16.0% | 110.8 |
64 | Kellen Moore | 11 | 20 | 55.0% | 136 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -27 | 5.9 | 3 | 15.0% | 44.8 |
65 | Austin Davis | 8 | 15 | 53.3% | 100 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -14 | 25 | 2 | 13.3% | 156.3 |
66 | Mark Sanchez | 11 | 19 | 57.9% | 135 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -19 | 6.1 | 2 | 10.5% | 73.1 |
67 | Paxton Lynch | 7 | 12 | 58.3% | 72 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 8.3% | 75.7 |
I extended this out because I wanted to show where Paxton Lynch ranks in his very limited playing time. There are also some interesting guys down near the bottom of the list. Brock is ranked 31st in conversion % (30.7%) while Trevor is much better at 16th (33.1%).
The range (for starting QBs) goes from Ben Roethlisberger (36.7%) to Jared Goff (25.0%) - although Goff was horrible at this last year and has been better this year. Note that Mitch Trubisky has done really well at this during his brief career (admittedly in limited attempts) and that Dak Prescott and Ryan Fitzpatrick have been horrible at converting on 3rd and long during this timeframe. Using passer rating Trevor is 13th and Brock is 33rd. Jameis Winston and Ryan Tannehill also have been really bad on 3rd and long over this time period.
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