The Denver Broncos will go up against the Buffalo Bills as 3-point road favorites. The line opened at just a single point, but has since moved more in Denver’s favor as the public is betting heavily on them after their blowout win over the Dallas Cowboys.
This game has every hallmark of a ‘trap game’. The Broncos are coming off a huge, satisfying win over the overhyped Cowboys and have the Oakland Raiders in Week 4. Psychologically, one could easily overlook the Bills in this spot.
I agree with Walterfootball.com on their take. Both offenses will have trouble scoring, but ultimately the Broncos are the better team and win a tight game.
Both teams are going to have major problems scoring in this game, so I like the under more than anything. As for the actual side, I think this spread is set exactly right. There's a ton of action on the Broncos - the most money any one side has received this week - but I don't like buying into hype. I think the Broncos are a very good team - I slotted them sixth in my NFL Power Rankings - but they'll be without their talented left tackle, and they haven't played on the road yet.
The Bills, meanwhile, may seem like a good play from a contrarian perspective. Look at all the line value, after all. The Bills were -1.5 prior to Week 2! However, I don't trust them. Their offense sucks if Glenn isn't healthy, and he doesn't seem to be anywhere close to 100 percent right now. Buffalo is a one-dimensional offense going up against perhaps the top defense in the NFL. Not good.
I think there's a good chance the Broncos win by exactly three, so I'm definitely not betting this game.
Despite me agreeing with this assessment, my hope is that the Broncos come out and exploit the right matchups and prove they can beat any team in any situation. This game just doesn’t seem to have a lot of good matchups that favor the Broncos offensively. Fortunately, there are even fewer favorable matchups for the Bills offense.