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5 Draft Day Scenarios for the Denver Broncos

Taking a look at John Elway’s options with the Denver Broncos fifth pick in the 2018 NFL Draft.

With less than 5 days to go until the Denver Broncos are on the clock at number five, I thought it’d be a fun exercise in futility to sketch out what five scenarios the Broncos may find themselves in on draft day.

1. The Broncos trade up

Elway has already done this once before: trading a 3rd round pick to move ahead of the Dallas Cowboys to grab Paxton Lynch out of Memphis. While we all know how that’s turned out, it looked like a pretty shrewd move at the time.

In this scenario, the cost would be astronomical. There are rumors that the New York Giants have already turned down a Buffalo Bills offer that would have given them the 12th, 22nd, 53rd and 56th pick in the draft, so we’re projecting some future picks going to New York here.

In return, the Broncos land the 2nd pick and Baker Mayfield wears orange and blue.

NCAA Football: Oklahoma Pro Day
I’d be happy too Baker.
Mark D. Smith-USA TODAY Sports

2. The Broncos stand pat at 5

This may be the most likely scenario. New York balks at the offer Elway’s thrown out and no one wants 5 enough to justify moving down. Instead the front office stands pat and selects one from among the following:

Baker Mayfield. It’s looking increasingly unlikely that he’ll make it past the Jets at 3, but if he slides to 5 he’ll be a Bronco.

Saquon Barkley. With C.J. Anderson gone this move would make some sense. Many think Barkley is the best prospect in this entire class.

Quinton Nelson. My top pick that isn’t a quarterback.

Bradley Chubb. I wrote about this here.

Josh Rosen. Highly doubt this happens, but the prospect I’m pulling for if Baker goes to the New York Jets.

Josh Allen, My nightmare scenario: an inaccurate strong armed project that reminds Elway of himself.

NFL: Combine
The look when you can throw it 90 miles an hour... into the dirt.
Brian Spurlock-USA TODAY Sports

3. The Broncos trade down with the Bills

This could happen if the Buffalo Bills fear that the Miami Dolphins, Arizona Cardinals or another team will move up to catch a sliding QB prospect (such as Rosen). With only A.J. McCarron and Nathan Peterman on the current roster, Buffalo has a glaring hole at the position.

In this scenario Elway takes the rumored deal Buffalo offered New York and lands the 12th, 22nd, 53rd and 56th pick for #5. The move makes sense for Denver if Elway isn’t interested in Josh Rosen. It also makes sense if the front office and coaching staff have seen enough from Case Keenum to believe he can be their franchise QB for a few years.

Broncos Bills Trade

Pick Player My thoughts
Pick Player My thoughts
#12 Harold Landry looks like the closest thing to a freak pass rusher in this draft.
#22 Isaiah Oliver could be the heir apparent to Aqib Talib. A fluid press corner who needs to develop.
#40 Ronald Jones III has the look of a young Jamal Charles. Let’s hope Joseph can remember to use him.
#53 Austin Corbett could be a fit at guard or tackle and Elway has shown interest.
#56 Jerome Baker may need the D-line to help keep him clean but he’d improve short-intermediate coverage in the middle of the field.
NCAA Football: Colorado at Oregon State
The Broncos have shown serious interest in Isaiah Oliver
Scott Olmos-USA TODAY Sports

4. The Broncos trade down with either the Miami Dolphins or Arizona Cardinals

If the front office is lower on this years draft class or the Bills simply don’t offer enough then a move to accumulate future draft picks makes a great deal of sense. One look at either roster offers a lot of hope that their future first will be a high one, something that could be immensely valuable with Nick Bosa on the horizon.

If the Broncos trade with Miami

Pick Player My Thoughts
Pick Player My Thoughts
#11 Denzel Ward has the look of a young Chris Harris. He’s sticky in coverage and versatile.
#40 Anthony Miller is old for a rookie, but fills a big need in the short and long term at wide receiver.
#42 Lorenzo Carter is a huge upside pick that could eventually star opposite Von Miller
NCAA Football: Big Ten Championship-Ohio State vs Wisconsin
Ward would look awful good lining up next to fellow Buckeye Bradley Roby
Trevor Ruszkowski-USA TODAY Sports

If the Broncos trade with Arizona

Pick Player My Thoughts
Pick Player My Thoughts
#15 Vita Vea looks like the next Haloti Ngata.
#40 James Daniels could play guard and potentially take over for Paradis long term.
#47 Nick Chubb would steps into the CJ role as a workhorse for Musgrave’s offense.
NCAA Football: Rutgers at Washington
Vita Vea looks like he’ll be a monster at the next level.
Jennifer Buchanan-USA TODAY Sports

5. The Broncos trade down with the New England Patriots

A scenario that makes sense for a number of reasons. If the Patriots are trying to plan for life after Brady and Belichick isn’t sold on Kyle Lauletta or Luke Falk (the team has visited with both) then perhaps Rosen is the heir apparent.

On the Broncos side of thing it makes sense if the team is looking for multiple long term starters over one potential blue chip player. It’s hard to argue against this line of thinking when you consider that Domata Peko, Emmanuel Sanders, Jared Veldheer, Demaryius Thomas, Case Keenum, Darian Stewart, and Von Miller will all be over 30 before the 2019 season begins. If Elway is serious about the “win from now on” mantra, planning for an aging roster is mandatory.

There seems to be a consensus that the 2018 draft has about 20 top tier prospects and then another 40 or so starter level players. If that’s how Elway views things then the more opportunities to hop in that pool of 40, the better.

Broncos Patriots Trade

Pick Player My Thoughts
Pick Player My Thoughts
#23 Derrius Guice could be a star back in the Musgrave offense.
#31 D.J. Moore could be the best receiver in this class.
#40 Maurice Hurst looks like he'll slide, but may be the next Aaron Donald.
#43 Fred Warner could replace Todd Davis on passing downs early in his career and eventually Brandon Marshall.
#63 Tyrell Crosby could provide a long term answer on the right side of the offensive line. Somewhere.


Which of these scenarios do you prefer the Broncos pursue?

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