Broncos at Vikings odds: Denver 10.5-point underdogs to Minnesota

The Denver Broncos enter Week 11 on the road as huge 10.5-point underdogs to the Minnesota Vikings. As road underdogs, the Broncos have only beaten the Los Angeles Chargers and New Orleans Saints since 2016 and have not won as 10-point or greater road underdogs as far back as Pro Football Reference data goes (the early 90s).

Which means, Denver will need a miracle to come out with a win next week. Brandon Allen is getting his second start and by all accounts we should expect quite a regression back to the mean from him. Drew Lock will start practicing this week, but he is not expected to play until Denver’s next home game in Week 13.

Meanwhile, the Vikings present a very strong and balanced offense and defense. With Dalvin Cook, the Vikings are able to keep the pressure on the front seven which has opened things up for Kirk Cousins and their passing attack.

“He’s a great player, number one,” Head Coach Vic Fangio said of Cook and the Vikings offense. “Number two, they have a very balanced offense. They have really good receivers, good tight ends and a good quarterback, so you can’t put all your focus on him 100 percent of the time because of the talent and the balance that they have around him. When you’re playing a team like that straight up, a great player like him can surface.”

Odds Shark simulation has the Vikings pummeling the Broncos in a 34-10 beatdown, which could very easily happen here. The key for Denver will be their defense. If they can hold Minnesota to under 20 points in this game, then anything could happen if their offense is able to find some success.

In the NFL, I normally consider betting against those double digit spreads, but with the Broncos inconsistencies on offense this could very easily end up a blowout loss. Then again, their stout defense could also very easily keep this game close to the very end. Given that reality, I would never even consider betting this spread!