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What a strange two weeks.
First, the Denver Broncos headed into Kansas City 9.5-point underdogs and then promptly lost 23-3 there. Then, they come home to take on the Detroit Lions and are solid 7-point favorites. Vegas must really think the Lions stink for such a huge point swing like that.
Even then, the public is all over the Broncos with that line at 62% at the time of this writing. With the over/under at 38.5, I find it hard to see how they hit that mark and cover the touchdown spread. If I were a betting man, I’d probably take the Lions to cover and Denver to win straight-up.
A big reason why I would take the Lions to cover is because Denver has played the under in 17 of their last 23 games, so if the total points scored is under 38 then its going to be a close, low-scoring game probably.
Also, the Lions have moved Matthew Stafford to injured reserve and will start David Blough who is an undrafted rookie and who has played pretty terrible through his first three games. Meanwhile, rookie second-round pick Drew Lock has played pretty well for the Broncos through his first three starts.
I’d be hard-pressed to take either team at this line due to the rookie quarterback factor, but I might be swayed to take the under on the over/under.
Kickoff is set for 2:05 p.m. Mile High time on Sunday, December 22, 2019 at Empower Field at Mile High in Denver, Colorado. You can watch the live stream of the game through FuboTV.
Poll
What do you think of the Broncos-Lions spread?
This poll is closed
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41%
Favors Broncos too much
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11%
Favors Lions too much
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47%
Just right