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Situational passing stats - comparing Case Keenum and Joe Flacco

What do the numbers say about Flacco as an upgrade over Keenum?

By Joe Mahoney

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NFL: Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Baltimore Ravens Mitch Stringer-USA TODAY Sports

I know that numbers don’t tell the whole story, but any time a big move like the Joe Flacco trade is made by the Broncos, I want to see some data. I hope you do as well. I not only want to know how Flacco performed in 2018 relative to Case Keenum, but I also want to know how well both did compared to the rest of the league.

Throwing the deep ball

There is this persistent myth (at least among Broncos fans still traumatized by Rahim Moore’s mis-timed leap on the Flacco hail mary in 2012) that Flacco is good at throwing the deep ball.

While I would love to show you the entire league data for this, I can’t because profootballfocus.com will not let us (without a really expensive media-level subscription). What I can share with you is where Flacco has ranked (and his passer rating on passes that travelled 20 or more yards beyond the LOS) during every year of his career.

Year Deep Passer Rating Rank Among Qualifiers
2008 87.9 13th
2009 76.2 22nd
2010 98.8 7th
2011 82.8 16th
2012 123.2 2nd
2013 27.6 41st
2014 107.4 10th
2015 49.8 33rd
2016 60.9 31st
2017 52.7 29th
2018 52.6 37th

It’s fairly clear from the data that Flacco has not been good at throwing the deep ball since he won the Super Bowl MVP and signed that massive contract. The Flacco Apologists on the staff would like to point out that Flacco has had little in the way of deep threats at wide receiver with the Ravens over the past six seasons, but there are other QBs who were able to generate much better deep passing stats than Flacco in 2018 with receiving corps that were as limited as the Ravens’ corps from last season.

Flacco attempted 52 deep passes and completed 12 (four were dropped) for three TDs and three INTs. By way of comparison, Keenum attempted 72 deep passes, completing 26 (four were dropped) for five TDs and eight INTs. Keenum led the league in deep interceptions. For comparison, Russell Wilson, who was one of the best deep passers in the league in 2018, attempted 68 deep passes, completing 33 (0 drops) for 15 TDs and only one INT. Using a minimum of 10 attempts to qualify, Keenum was the 33rd rated deep passer in 2018, and Flacco was the 37th. Both sucked.

Third down passing

The rest of the data in this piece will all come from pro-football-reference.com, which is free to use as long as you give them credit.

Overall on third down in 2018, Flacco was decent and Keenum was terrible. Flacco was 12th in passer rating on third down with a rating of 97.6 last season. Keenum had a passer rating of 66.5, which ranked him 34th among qualifiers (minimum 30 attempts) and worse than Jeff Driskel, Blake Bortles, Lamar Jackson and Nick Mullens. If we sort this table by first-down percentage (how often a drop-back led to a first down on third down), Flacco was 15th (37.8 percent) while Keenum was 38th (27.2 percent). Andrew Luck led the league at 48.5 percent. I did not include third down scrambles that converted.

Rank Player Cmp Att Cmp% Yds TD Int Sk Yds Y/A 1D 1D% Rate
1 Russell Wilson 75 127 59.1 994 16 3 26 -158 7.8 54 35.3% 113.6
2 Patrick Mahomes 77 124 62.1 1206 12 4 9 -66 9.7 64 48.1% 113.2
3 Brock Osweiler 36 54 66.7 469 4 1 7 -54 8.7 23 37.7% 110.8
4 Drew Brees 79 117 67.5 797 9 1 8 -65 6.8 53 42.4% 108.8
5 Jameis Winston 53 84 63.1 663 6 1 13 -81 7.9 43 44.3% 106.4
6 Nick Foles 40 51 78.4 425 2 1 0 0 8.3 21 41.2% 106.3
7 Eli Manning 111 161 68.9 1294 10 3 19 -151 8 67 37.2% 106
8 Matt Ryan 101 148 68.2 1165 7 2 20 -135 7.9 72 42.9% 101.9
9 Ryan Fitzpatrick 32 51 62.7 438 3 1 4 -36 8.6 23 41.8% 101.6
10 Dak Prescott 100 147 68 1046 7 1 23 -160 7.1 60 35.3% 101.5
11 Aaron Rodgers 75 132 56.8 1269 6 1 25 -181 9.6 52 33.1% 101.5
12 Joe Flacco 56 92 60.9 608 6 1 6 -27 6.6 37 37.8% 97.6
13 Jared Goff 81 124 65.3 949 8 4 15 -102 7.7 57 41.0% 96.5
14 Andrew Luck 106 162 65.4 1200 10 5 5 -37 7.4 81 48.5% 95.2
15 Tom Brady 65 124 52.4 787 12 3 11 -82 6.3 48 35.6% 94.4
16 Marcus Mariota 60 97 61.9 714 4 1 22 -123 7.4 45 37.8% 93.8
17 Baker Mayfield 78 128 60.9 1010 8 4 11 -92 7.9 50 36.0% 93.6
18 Kirk Cousins 92 151 60.9 1000 8 2 22 -162 6.6 62 35.8% 92.6
19 Mitchell Trubisky 68 107 63.6 697 7 3 12 -94 6.5 48 40.3% 92.3
20 Derek Carr 84 132 63.6 933 3 0 26 -162 7.1 55 34.8% 92.1
21 Deshaun Watson 88 141 62.4 1023 7 3 22 -178 7.3 55 33.7% 92
22 Ben Roethlisberger 102 158 64.6 1135 10 6 8 -58 7.2 68 41.0% 91.1
23 Carson Wentz 53 93 57 586 4 0 11 -78 6.3 39 37.5% 90.2
24 Alex Smith 62 98 63.3 749 3 2 7 -45 7.6 37 35.2% 88.4
25 Cam Newton 61 102 59.8 606 7 3 9 -75 5.9 42 37.8% 87.3
26 Sam Darnold 62 117 53 786 7 3 14 -97 6.7 44 33.6% 83.5
27 Jeff Driskel 32 53 60.4 289 1 0 8 -60 5.5 16 26.2% 81.4
28 Blake Bortles 63 114 55.3 730 3 1 12 -83 6.4 44 34.9% 79.9
29 Matthew Stafford 86 150 57.3 930 8 6 13 -81 6.2 59 36.2% 76.8
30 Andy Dalton 40 81 49.4 459 6 3 10 -92 5.7 32 35.2% 76.1
31 Lamar Jackson 27 49 55.1 269 2 1 7 -23 5.5 18 32.1% 76
32 Philip Rivers 79 138 57.2 985 8 8 8 -74 7.1 56 38.4% 74.7
33 Nick Mullens 40 68 58.8 475 5 5 7 -66 7 29 38.7% 74.1
34 Case Keenum 74 139 53.2 728 3 3 19 -139 5.2 43 27.2% 66.5
35 Ryan Tannehill 37 72 51.4 414 3 3 18 -141 5.8 20 22.2% 65.4
36 C.J. Beathard 20 40 50 244 2 2 10 -92 6.1 15 30.0% 65
37 Cody Kessler 22 36 61.1 199 1 2 10 -67 5.5 16 34.8% 62.2
38 Josh Rosen 56 114 49.1 576 4 4 21 -164 5.1 38 28.1% 61.1
39 Josh Allen 43 93 46.2 508 1 4 13 -96 5.5 30 28.3% 49
40 Josh McCown 11 31 35.5 102 1 1 2 -13 3.3 8 24.2% 42.7
41 Blaine Gabbert 21 38 55.3 190 0 3 2 -12 5 12 30.0% 36.1

Flacco, at least from his 2018 stats, is definitely an upgrade over Keenum in third down passing.

Third (or fourth) and long (9 or more yards needed)

I know I normally use seven or more for “long” situations, but the league tracks passing on third-(or fourth)-and-9 or more, so that is what is going to be shown in the next table.

Rank Player Cmp Att Cmp% Yds TD Int Sk Yds Y/A 1D 1D% Rate
1 Jameis Winston 19 25 76.0 293 2 1 6 -51 11.7 12 38.7% 124.3
2 Brock Osweiler 14 16 87.5 188 0 0 4 -28 11.8 6 30.0% 115.6
3 Marcus Mariota 26 33 78.8 306 1 0 10 -59 9.3 15 34.9% 115.4
4 Matt Ryan 40 59 67.8 540 1 0 5 -34 9.2 20 31.3% 102.4
5 Dak Prescott 53 76 69.7 607 3 1 8 -79 8.0 18 21.4% 101.2
6 Nick Foles 15 19 78.9 149 0 0 0 0 7.8 2 10.5% 99.3
7 Tom Brady 21 40 52.5 280 4 1 5 -40 7.0 11 24.4% 97.9
8 Derek Carr 35 47 74.5 366 0 0 14 -86 7.8 12 19.7% 96.6
9 Eli Manning 46 61 75.4 502 2 2 11 -92 8.2 14 19.4% 96.5
10 Patrick Mahomes 28 50 56.0 605 2 2 6 -45 12.1 22 39.3% 95.8
11 Ben Roethlisberger 35 56 62.5 457 3 2 4 -29 8.2 16 26.7% 91.1
12 Russell Wilson 24 44 54.5 318 3 1 9 -52 7.2 10 18.9% 90.9
13 Josh Johnson 6 10 60.0 90 0 0 2 -21 9.0 3 25.0% 89.6
14 Aaron Rodgers 33 60 55.0 536 2 1 8 -59 8.9 12 17.6% 89.3
15 Carson Wentz 19 34 55.9 241 1 0 5 -33 7.1 10 25.6% 88
16 Alex Smith 28 41 68.3 334 0 1 5 -30 8.1 8 17.4% 82.8
17 Deshaun Watson 37 54 68.5 405 1 2 8 -50 7.5 10 16.1% 81.2
18 Joe Flacco 26 38 68.4 298 0 1 4 -21 7.8 11 26.2% 80.8
19 Drew Brees 24 39 61.5 255 0 0 2 -15 6.5 8 19.5% 80.6
20 Blaine Gabbert 8 12 66.7 66 0 0 1 -4 5.5 3 23.1% 80.6
21 Andrew Luck 35 52 67.3 456 1 3 3 -20 8.8 19 34.5% 77.1
22 Baker Mayfield 32 55 58.2 488 2 3 2 -15 8.9 13 22.8% 76.9
23 Kirk Cousins 28 55 50.9 352 2 1 6 -44 6.4 11 18.0% 75.7
24 Case Keenum 34 58 58.6 360 2 2 8 -54 6.2 16 24.2% 73.9
25 Matthew Stafford 34 56 60.7 444 3 4 5 -15 7.9 16 26.2% 73.8
26 Cam Newton 21 40 52.5 305 2 2 2 -15 7.6 9 21.4% 73.4
27 Ryan Tannehill 19 35 54.3 250 3 3 10 -74 7.1 6 13.3% 69.9
28 Josh Rosen 25 46 54.3 254 1 1 13 -111 5.5 12 20.3% 68.6
29 Mitchell Trubisky 16 31 51.6 206 2 2 3 -24 6.6 6 17.6% 67.4
30 Blake Bortles 23 41 56.1 253 0 1 8 -53 6.2 12 24.5% 64.4
31 Nathan Peterman 7 12 58.3 58 1 1 3 -14 4.8 3 20.0% 63.9
32 Jeff Driskel 13 27 48.1 136 0 0 4 -38 5.0 3 9.7% 63.2
33 Jared Goff 32 50 64.0 389 0 3 7 -50 7.8 13 22.8% 62.8
34 Sam Darnold 31 65 47.7 466 3 4 8 -52 7.2 18 24.7% 61.4
35 Philip Rivers 32 56 57.1 408 1 4 3 -28 7.3 15 25.4% 56.3
36 C.J. Beathard 8 19 42.1 100 1 1 3 -29 5.3 5 22.7% 54.7
37 Tyrod Taylor 7 15 46.7 44 0 0 2 -11 2.9 3 17.6% 53.5
38 Josh Allen 18 40 45.0 299 0 2 3 -28 7.5 10 23.3% 49.9
39 Ryan Fitzpatrick 10 18 55.6 105 0 1 2 -20 5.8 3 15.0% 49.5
40 Lamar Jackson 9 16 56.3 101 0 1 3 -13 6.3 3 15.8% 49.2
41 Cody Kessler 8 14 57.1 70 0 1 5 -40 5.0 2 10.5% 40.8
42 Nick Mullens 12 23 52.2 119 0 2 4 -37 5.2 4 14.8% 30.9
43 Andy Dalton 10 32 31.3 145 0 2 2 -20 4.5 5 14.7% 21

Using passer rating, Flacco was 18th and Keenum was 24th among qualifiers (minimum 10 attempts). I was surprised to see how poorly both Philip Rivers (35th) and Andy Dalton (43rd) fared on third- or fourth-and-very-long. Sorting by first-down conversion rate, Flacco was ninth and Keenum 16th. Mahomes was unreal converting on 39.3 percent of his third-and-very-long passing attempts. Mullens only converted on four of these situations all season. Two of those conversions were against Vic Fangio’s Chicago defense (and neither was against a prevent defense as the score was close or tied on both).

Back to the comparison of Flacco and Keenum. Flacco is a small upgrade here, but not much.

Passing in the fourth quarter of a close game (within 7 points)

Good QBs can put the team on their back in crunch time and move the sticks when it is needed most. Whether that is a situation where your team is down and needs a score to tie or take the lead, or your team is up and looking to convert so they can run out the clock, good QBs find ways to succeed in these situations. Bad ones don’t.

Rank Player Cmp Att Cmp% Yds TD Int Sk Yds Y/A 1D 1D% Rate
1 Matt Ryan 54 68 79.4 768 6 3 5 -35 11.3 33 45.2% 124.8
2 Tom Brady 50 65 76.9 743 3 1 0 0 11.4 31 47.7% 122.8
3 Chase Daniel 8 11 72.7 74 1 0 2 -6 6.7 3 23.1% 121.0
4 Carson Wentz 51 69 73.9 530 5 0 6 -49 7.7 28 37.3% 119.8
5 Alex Smith 8 11 72.7 64 1 0 0 0 5.8 4 36.4% 117.2
6 Patrick Mahomes 43 61 70.5 519 6 2 4 -20 8.5 23 35.4% 115.4
7 Lamar Jackson 10 18 55.6 125 2 0 3 -9 6.9 9 42.9% 114.4
8 Drew Brees 43 61 70.5 482 5 1 4 -28 7.9 21 32.3% 114.2
9 Dak Prescott 54 81 66.7 742 4 0 9 -48 9.2 31 34.4% 112.3
10 Marcus Mariota 31 47 66.0 355 3 0 3 -9 7.6 18 36.0% 109.8
11 Andrew Luck 68 90 75.6 676 4 1 4 -36 7.5 37 39.4% 106.5
12 Tyrod Taylor 10 16 62.5 201 2 2 1 -10 12.6 7 41.2% 106.3
13 Philip Rivers 39 54 72.2 444 1 0 3 -19 8.2 22 38.6% 102.7
14 Mitchell Trubisky 38 55 69.1 390 3 1 3 -11 7.1 23 39.7% 99.8
15 Deshaun Watson 42 66 63.6 552 3 1 6 -40 8.4 24 33.3% 98.8
16 Jared Goff 36 62 58.1 441 3 0 4 -28 7.1 21 31.8% 96.2
17 Ryan Tannehill 21 34 61.8 318 4 3 4 -24 9.4 10 26.3% 95.0
18 Russell Wilson 43 74 58.1 660 4 2 10 -80 8.9 25 29.8% 94.4
19 Eli Manning 48 75 64.0 647 3 2 3 -27 8.6 25 32.1% 93.6
20 Aaron Rodgers 45 82 54.9 625 3 0 6 -38 7.6 26 29.5% 91.8
21 Cam Newton 70 117 59.8 790 6 3 4 -25 6.8 42 34.7% 86.5
22 Ben Roethlisberger 67 106 63.2 764 3 2 4 -31 7.2 39 35.5% 86.4
23 Case Keenum 49 76 64.5 577 1 1 6 -45 7.6 28 34.1% 86.3
24 Josh Rosen 28 48 58.3 369 3 2 4 -27 7.7 19 36.5% 86.2
25 Joe Flacco 25 42 59.5 261 1 0 3 -19 6.2 12 26.7% 85.5
26 Matthew Stafford 29 43 67.4 304 2 2 4 -30 7.1 13 27.7% 83.9
27 Derek Carr 26 49 53.1 301 3 1 3 -8 6.1 16 30.8% 83.8
28 Baker Mayfield 35 57 61.4 423 2 2 0 0 7.4 21 36.8% 81.3
29 Andy Dalton 43 72 59.7 501 1 1 4 -32 7.0 27 35.5% 79.7
30 Kirk Cousins 15 21 71.4 161 0 1 4 -35 7.7 8 32.0% 73.7
31 Josh Allen 21 41 51.2 301 2 2 2 -15 7.3 15 34.9% 71.3
32 Blaine Gabbert 15 22 68.2 179 1 2 0 0 8.1 11 50.0% 70.1
33 Nick Foles 13 23 56.5 131 1 1 0 0 5.7 5 21.7% 69.3
34 Josh Johnson 9 14 64.3 97 1 2 2 -18 6.9 7 43.8% 68.8
35 Jameis Winston 15 30 50.0 190 1 1 1 -4 6.3 9 29.0% 67.4
36 Nathan Peterman 5 10 50.0 55 1 2 0 0 5.5 4 40.0% 60.4
37 Nick Mullens 21 36 58.3 283 0 2 3 -18 7.9 13 33.3% 60.3
38 Jeff Driskel 4 11 36.4 68 0 0 2 -16 6.2 2 15.4% 58.1
39 Blake Bortles 24 49 49.0 213 0 1 4 -23 4.3 10 18.9% 52.5
40 Sam Darnold 29 58 50.0 360 1 5 6 -39 6.2 15 23.4% 39.4
41 C.J. Beathard 12 22 54.5 122 0 2 3 -28 5.5 6 24.0% 32.8

Both Flacco and Keenum were poor in these situations in 2018 with Keenum ranking 23rd (86.3) and Flacco ranking 25th (85.5). This is a push. Surprisingly, both QBs did better than Nick Foles in these situations in 2018.

Red Zone Passing

If your QB can’t lead the offense to TDs once in the red zone, you will lose more often than you win. Note that this does not include rushing stats in the red zone by the QB, only passing stats. That being said, neither Flacco nor Keenum is known for his running ability.

Rank Player Cmp Att Cmp% Yds TD Int Sk Yds Y/A 1D 1D% Rate
1 Drew Brees 63 88 71.6 363 22 0 2 -19 4.1 33 36.7% 118.5
2 Baker Mayfield 35 54 64.8 259 20 0 2 -24 4.8 23 41.1% 115.7
3 Kirk Cousins 45 68 66.2 279 20 0 7 -57 4.1 26 34.7% 113.9
4 Patrick Mahomes 63 96 65.6 461 35 1 7 -48 4.8 46 44.7% 112.0
5 Andrew Luck 60 89 67.4 401 32 1 2 -25 4.5 39 42.9% 111.9
6 Matt Ryan 45 73 61.6 365 23 1 9 -58 5.0 31 37.8% 108.2
7 Andy Dalton 29 45 64.4 211 16 1 1 -9 4.7 19 41.3% 105.6
8 Jimmy Garoppolo 8 15 53.3 66 3 0 6 -48 4.4 5 23.8% 104.4
9 Tom Brady 49 86 57.0 376 18 1 5 -30 4.4 30 33.0% 102.5
10 Mitchell Trubisky 37 60 61.7 228 17 1 3 -30 3.8 21 33.3% 101.9
11 Carson Wentz 33 55 60.0 221 18 1 4 -25 4.0 20 33.9% 100.8
12 Deshaun Watson 37 72 51.4 274 19 0 15 -94 3.8 25 28.7% 100.3
13 Cam Newton 36 54 66.7 237 18 2 4 -22 4.4 25 43.1% 100.1
14 Jameis Winston 28 45 62.2 258 15 2 2 -10 5.7 20 42.6% 98.9
15 Jared Goff 55 96 57.3 363 23 2 4 -29 3.8 29 29.0% 96.5
16 Sam Darnold 23 43 53.5 198 8 1 3 -24 4.6 16 34.8% 95.7
17 Philip Rivers 40 65 61.5 240 20 2 4 -10 3.7 27 39.1% 95.5
18 Josh Rosen 16 37 43.2 146 7 0 0 0 3.9 12 32.4% 94.1
19 Russell Wilson 35 62 56.5 269 23 2 7 -54 4.3 28 40.6% 93.3
20 Cody Kessler 6 13 46.2 41 2 0 0 0 3.2 4 30.8% 93.3
21 Brock Osweiler 7 15 46.7 32 3 0 1 -8 2.1 3 18.8% 93.1
22 Alex Smith 16 27 59.3 112 7 1 5 -29 4.1 11 34.4% 92.9
23 Josh Allen 12 26 46.2 79 4 0 3 -23 3.0 5 17.2% 92.8
24 Chase Daniel 5 11 45.5 31 3 0 0 0 2.8 3 27.3% 92.0
25 Derek Carr 36 59 61.0 188 14 2 2 -8 3.2 18 29.5% 91.7
26 Marcus Mariota 26 48 54.2 144 8 1 4 -21 3.0 13 25.0% 90.6
27 Joe Flacco 23 43 53.5 139 10 1 0 0 3.2 13 30.2% 90.0
28 Lamar Jackson 9 21 42.9 61 4 0 4 -9 2.9 5 20.0% 89.9
29 Jeff Driskel 7 17 41.2 53 4 0 2 -7 3.1 5 26.3% 89.0
30 Nick Mullens 23 36 63.9 142 8 2 3 -24 3.9 13 33.3% 88.2
31 Ryan Tannehill 13 25 52.0 117 8 1 1 -8 4.7 10 38.5% 87.8
32 Aaron Rodgers 27 61 44.3 215 16 1 3 -30 3.5 19 29.7% 86.4
33 Nick Foles 14 24 58.3 75 4 1 0 0 3.1 7 29.2% 85.9
34 Dak Prescott 34 67 50.7 208 12 2 8 -52 3.1 15 20.0% 84.5
35 Ben Roethlisberger 48 85 56.5 307 20 4 1 -6 3.6 31 36.0% 84.2
36 Eli Manning 38 80 47.5 243 18 2 4 -31 3.0 24 28.6% 83.5
37 C.J. Beathard 11 20 55.0 70 4 1 0 0 3.5 8 40.0% 81.3
38 Matthew Stafford 34 71 47.9 226 14 3 5 -29 3.2 24 31.6% 77.2
39 Blake Bortles 17 38 44.7 106 7 2 3 -10 2.8 10 24.4% 69.5
40 Case Keenum 29 61 47.5 174 10 4 2 -14 2.9 15 23.8% 66.5
41 Ryan Fitzpatrick 14 37 37.8 93 9 2 4 -12 2.5 11 26.8% 63.2

Here we see that Flacco is an upgrade over Keenum. While Flacco was 27th in red zone passer rating in 2018 (90.0), Keenum was second-to-last among qualifiers at 40th (66.5). Yay! We’ve upgraded from atrocious to mostly shitty.

Keenum’s four red zone interceptions were tied for league worst and the QB he tied with, Ben Roethlisberger, threw twice as many red zone TDs. Flacco threw 10 red zone TDs and only one red zone pick. Mahomes threw an unreal 35 red zone TD passes with only one pick. Drew Brees, Baker Mayfield and Kirk Cousins combined to throw 62 red zone TD passes without a single red zone interception. The only thing keeping Keenum from having the worst red zone passing stats in the league in 2018 was Ryan Fitzpatrick’s 37.8 completion percentage on red zone passes, which was the worst by far among qualifying QBs.

Danger zone (inside your own 20) passing

Broncos want a QB that can get them out of the shadow of their own goalpost without turning the ball over. Flacco was actually very good in the danger zone in 2018, ranking 5th in passer rating (103.2). Keenum was 31st with a passer rating of 73.0. Keenum’s three danger zone picks were tied for worst in the league (with Nathan Peterman and Cam Newton).

In terms of first-down percentage, Keenum was 22nd (29.4 percent) while Flacco was fourth (40 percent). I was surprised to see Tom Brady so far down the list in terms of first down percentage on danger zone drop-backs (42nd). I’m not sure what to read into that, if anything.

Rank Player Cmp Att Cmp% Yds TD Int Sk Yds Y/A 1D 1D% Rate
1 C.J. Beathard 12 14 85.7 176 1 0 1 -5 12.6 4 26.7% 142.6
2 Lamar Jackson 9 10 90.0 188 0 0 2 -8 18.8 6 50.0% 118.8
3 Nick Foles 16 26 61.5 269 1 0 1 -9 10.3 8 29.6% 109.3
4 Deshaun Watson 31 42 73.8 407 0 0 4 -33 9.7 18 39.1% 104.0
5 Joe Flacco 31 38 81.6 433 0 1 2 -13 11.4 16 40.0% 103.2
6 Blaine Gabbert 10 13 76.9 109 0 0 0 0 8.4 3 23.1% 101.1
7 Ben Roethlisberger 51 70 72.9 653 1 1 1 -9 9.3 23 32.4% 100.5
8 Patrick Mahomes 39 59 66.1 526 1 0 1 -2 8.9 26 43.3% 100.0
9 Carson Wentz 27 35 77.1 271 0 0 2 -9 7.7 12 32.4% 98.6
10 Mitchell Trubisky 35 48 72.9 403 0 0 3 -25 8.4 18 35.3% 97.8
11 Eli Manning 45 59 76.3 529 0 1 5 -44 9 23 35.9% 95.9
12 Andy Dalton 22 28 78.6 296 0 1 1 -10 10.6 11 37.9% 95.8
13 Derek Carr 40 54 74.1 402 0 0 6 -39 7.4 16 26.7% 94.8
14 Baker Mayfield 43 60 71.7 567 0 1 2 -12 9.5 21 33.9% 94.2
15 Cody Kessler 18 23 78.3 146 0 0 2 -10 6.3 3 12.0% 93.1
16 Philip Rivers 47 72 65.3 716 0 1 4 -29 9.9 28 36.8% 92.1
17 Jeff Driskel 12 19 63.2 154 0 0 1 -8 8.1 8 40.0% 88.5
18 Alex Smith 22 32 68.8 316 0 1 1 -9 9.9 10 30.3% 87.5
19 Kirk Cousins 44 60 73.3 446 0 1 6 -37 7.4 20 30.3% 87.2
20 Matthew Stafford 40 58 69.0 378 0 0 4 -21 6.5 17 27.4% 86.7
21 Dak Prescott 43 62 69.4 418 1 1 11 -55 6.7 16 21.9% 86.6
22 Aaron Rodgers 47 69 68.1 444 0 0 2 -10 6.4 17 23.9% 85.7
23 Andrew Luck 35 50 70.0 398 0 1 4 -27 8 17 31.5% 85.3
24 Nick Mullens 19 29 65.5 283 1 2 2 -11 9.8 13 41.9% 80.1
25 Blake Bortles 33 46 71.7 403 1 3 1 -8 8.8 16 34.0% 78.4
26 Russell Wilson 28 41 68.3 287 0 1 7 -39 7 13 27.1% 78.0
27 Marcus Mariota 22 30 73.3 205 0 1 5 -21 6.8 10 28.6% 77.8
28 Josh Rosen 27 42 64.3 304 0 1 4 -27 7.2 11 23.9% 75.9
29 Matt Ryan 35 57 61.4 393 0 1 2 -16 6.9 17 28.8% 74.7
30 Ryan Tannehill 20 27 74.1 169 0 1 4 -22 6.3 9 29.0% 74.5
31 Case Keenum 46 65 70.8 486 0 3 3 -10 7.5 20 29.4% 73.0
32 Sam Darnold 33 57 57.9 397 0 1 1 -8 7 17 29.3% 72.0
33 Sam Bradford 10 15 66.7 51 0 0 0 0 3.4 2 13.3% 71.8
34 Cam Newton 35 53 66.0 481 0 3 0 0 9.1 19 35.8% 71.3
35 Jared Goff 29 43 67.4 334 0 2 2 -18 7.8 13 28.9% 71.3
36 Tom Brady 32 48 66.7 283 0 2 1 -3 5.9 8 16.3% 64.8
37 Jameis Winston 14 20 70.0 203 0 2 4 -21 10.2 7 29.2% 63.1
38 Drew Brees 21 31 67.7 200 0 2 0 0 6.5 8 25.8% 58.5
39 Ryan Fitzpatrick 16 24 66.7 190 0 2 3 -26 7.9 9 33.3% 55.9
40 Brock Osweiler 10 15 66.7 88 0 1 1 -6 5.9 5 31.3% 54.3
41 Josh Allen 16 35 45.7 173 0 2 3 -18 4.9 7 18.4% 37.0
42 Josh Johnson 6 10 60.0 56 0 1 1 -12 5.6 3 27.3% 35.8
43 Nathan Peterman 11 21 52.4 69 0 3 2 -6 3.3 4 17.4% 19.8
44 Jimmy Garoppolo 6 14 42.9 62 0 2 2 -18 4.4 4 25.0% 16.7

Conclusion

So there you have it. Some in-depth comparative passing stats for the guy who very likely will be our starting QB in 2019 relative to the guy who was our starting QB in 2018. I’m still not happy about this trade, but these data make me feel marginally better.

How are you feeling after seeing all of this?

Poll

If Joe Flacco is our starting QB in 2019 how much of an upgrade (if any) will he be over Case Keenum?

This poll is closed

  • 4%
    he’s a downgrade
    (40 votes)
  • 13%
    it’s a wash - they are equally poor
    (126 votes)
  • 39%
    a small upgrade
    (357 votes)
  • 37%
    a decent upgrade
    (335 votes)
  • 4%
    a huge upgrade
    (40 votes)
  • 0%
    Flacco is not going to start, rookie drafted QB will
    (7 votes)
905 votes total Vote Now

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