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Week 1 NFL picks against the spread

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Week 1 of the NFL season kicks off today and this weekend. Here are our picks against the spread for this first week of the regular season.

We’re going to try something different this year with our NFL picks post. I’ve been doing straight up pick’em for close to my entire life and while that is fun in its own right, picking against the spread is a much harder process to predict.

Since I am somewhat new to ATS picking, I am partnering with Broncos & Bratwurst podcast and his group of gambling types to offset any rookie learning curve I might have. I’ll always include their picks and podcast at the end of each weeks’ post.

For all betting lines, I’ll be grabbing the Bovada line from the SB Nation NFL Odds page. Those lines will typically be pulled the night before this post goes live - just for context, in case the line shifts heavily between now the game.

Let’s get to it!

Green Bay Packers at Chicago Bears (-3 / 46.5) - TNF

Packers 23, Bears 20.
Confidence level: Medium

Atlanta Falcons at Minnesota Vikings (-3.5 / 48)

Vikings 31, Falcons 28.
Confidence level: Low

Los Angeles Rams (-3 / 50) at Carolina Panthers

Rams 27, Panthers 17.
Confidence level: Low

Tennessee Titans at Cleveland Browns (-6 / 45.5)

Browns 17, Titans 13.
Confidence level: Medium

Kansas City Chiefs (-4 / 51.5) at Jacksonville Jaguars

Jaguars 30, Chiefs 23.
Confidence level: Low

Baltimore Ravens (-7 / 38.5) at Miami Dolphins

Dolphins 17, Ravens 16.
Confidence level: High

Buffalo Bills at New York Jets (-3 / 41)

Jets 21, Bills 20.
Confidence level: Low

Washington Redskins at Philadelphia Eagles (-10 / 45)

Eagles 27, Redskins 20.
Confidence level: Medium

Indianapolis Colts at Los Angeles Chargers (-6.5 / 44.5)

Chargers 28, Colts 10.
Confidence level: High

Cincinnati Bengals at Seattle Seahawks (-9.5 / 44)

Seahawks 31, Bengals 13.
Confidence level: Medium

Detroit Lions (-3 / 46.5) at Arizona Cardinals

Lions 13, Cardinals 10.
Confidence level: Low

New York Giants at Dallas Cowboys (-7.5 / 45.5)

Cowboys 24, Giants 17.
Confidence level: Low

San Francisco 49ers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (EVEN / 51)

49ers 28, Bucs 27.
Confidence level: Low

Pittsburgh Steelers at New England Patriots (-6 / 49.5) - SNF

Patriots 27, Steelers 23.
Confidence level: Low

Houston Texans at New Orleans Saints (-7 / 52.5) - MNF

Saints 34, Texans 28.
Confidence level: Low

Denver Broncos at Oakland Raiders (EVEN / 43) - MNF

Broncos 23, Raiders 16.
Confidence level: High

NFL Picks Against The Spread - Week 1

AWAY HOME Kevin Gillikin Skipper Dude Eric Caveman Luke Short Dom Gillikin Taylor Kothe G.W.
AWAY HOME Kevin Gillikin Skipper Dude Eric Caveman Luke Short Dom Gillikin Taylor Kothe G.W.
Green Bay Chicago (-3.5) GB GB GB CHI GB GB GB
Washington Philadelphia (-9.5) PHI PHI WAS PHI PHI WAS PHI
Buffalo New York Jets (-3.5) BUF NYJ BUF BUF NYJ BUF NYJ
Atlanta Minnesota (-4) MIN ATL MIN ATL ATL ATL ATL
Baltimore (-7) Miami BAL BAL BAL BAL MIA MIA MIA
Kansas City (-3.5) Jacksonville KC KC KC KC JAX KC JAX
Tennessee Cleveland (-5) CLE CLE CLE CLE TN CLE CLE
LA Rams (-3) Carolina LAR LAR CAR LAR LAR LAR LAR
Cincinnati Seattle (-8.5) SEA SEA CIN SEA SEA CIN CIN
Indianapolis LA Chargers (-7) LAC LAC LAC IND IND LAC IND
San Francisco Tampa Bay (-1) TB TB SF SF TB SF TB
New York Giants Dallas (-7) NYG NYG NYG DAL DAL DAL NYG
Detroit (-2.5) Arizona DET DET AZ DET DET AZ DET
Pittsburgh New England (-6) PIT NE PIT NE PIT PIT NE
Houston New Orleans (-7.5) HOU HOU HOU NO NO HOU HOU
Denver Oakland (-2) OAK DEN DEN DEN OAK OAK DEN

*BOLD denotes their locks for the week