This week, Pro Football Focus released a metric called Passing Composite Score. This metric combines accuracy rate over expected (the accuracy of throws relative to the average quarterback), EPA/Play, and raw PFF grade to deliver this score.
Teddy Bridgewater ranked 9th on this list, posting a Passing Composite Score of 90.55, .73 higher than Tom Brady and 2.19 higher than Matthew Stafford, who each played pretty phenomenal games in week 1.
with week 1 done, we can put together a 2021 NFL passing composite score using accuracy rate over expected*, EPA/play and raw PFF grade— Tej Seth (@tejfbanalytics) September 15, 2021
*explanation on "over expected" metrics can be found on PFF's website: https://t.co/L6D9e8Gd3H pic.twitter.com/7py9egJTcJ
It did somewhat surprise me to see Teddy’s accuracy rate dip into the negatives, but looking at the other accuracy rates of other quarterbacks that’s a metric I’m probably the most skeptical about and wouldn’t really worry too much about it.
However, EPA/Play is an intriguing metric here, as this metric is roughly set by the expected value of each play. Teddy generated a pretty high EPA/Play (tied for 4th), which might not have been the expectation for many in Broncos Country coming into week 1.
RBSDM.com, another analytics site, ranked Teddy Bridgewater second in EPA/Play at .597, higher than Stafford and even Patrick Mahomes!
Football Outsiders’ own metrics seemed to back up Teddy’s high level of play as well. While he finished 11th in both DYAR (Defense-adjusted Yards Above Replacement) and DVOA (Defense-adjusted Value Over Average), he ranked first in QBR.
Football Outsiders also ranked the Denver offense highly. Despite some tough sledding against the Giants’ defense, FO ranked them 6th in Total Offensive DVOA, with a 5th-ranked rushing DVOA and the 13th-ranked passing DVOA.
Both the tape and metrics support that Teddy and the offense had a great day on Sunday. That should be a huge confidence booster for the fan base moving forward, as the Giants are one of the better defenses the Broncos will play this season.
“I can still dance a little bit”. Teddy Bridgewater showed off the playmaking ability he has and made some pretty spectacular throws on the run.
Guard Graham Glasgow will continue to undergo tests on his heart condition that popped up during the Week 1 game against the Giants. Netane Muti would fill in for Glasgow if he cannot play. Bradley Chubb and Shelby Harris both practiced but were limited.
“He’s just got to go be KJ”. Teddy Bridgewater and KJ Hamler have struck up good chemistry together in the offseason. With Jerry Jeudy sidelined for the next several weeks, that chemistry with Hamler could be a productive combination moving forward.
Von Miller’s age and injuries didn’t seem to bother him in his first game back from injury. If he’s back to elite Von, offensive tackles across the NFL are in for one tough season.
Melvin Gordon’s 70-yard touchdown was the figurative dagger in the back of the Giants. Gordon broke 21.52 miles per hour on that run and was the only running back who broke the 21 miles per hour mark.