/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_image/image/71189999/usa_today_18532083.0.jpg)
The Denver Broncos are back to relevancy after a long six year period of wandering through quarterback purgatory, but just how good will they be in 2022? In my final question for Mike Tanier of Football Outsiders, I asked him where their DVOA calculations put Denver for win totals this seasons.
MHR: Can you give us your season predictions for the Broncos?
MIKE TANIER: The Broncos will have the fourth-best offense in the NFL and the 29th best defense. With a tough division but a manageable out-of-division schedule, they will end up around 9.3 wins, which will probably place them in the Wild Card hunt. If that defensive projection sounds pessimistic, you must also admit that the offensive projection sounds a tad optimistic.
Their system projects around 9 wins for the Broncos in 2022 and while that sounds low its really not as the top teams usually end up in the lower 10-11 win range. Their 9.3 win total projection puts Denver solidly in the Wild Card range of playoff teams in the AFC.
Looking over the Broncos 2022 schedule, it really is going to be a tale of two seasons. They have four prime time games in the first six weeks, but the schedule is rather soft until about Week 13. If they split games with playoff contenders until then, Denver could realistically come out with an 8-3 record heading into a brutal final six game stretch where they will be playing playoff contenders every week.
If they split those games, then they’d be a little above the FO win total projection. However, there is always a chance for them to finish 9-8 given how tough that final stretch is. I still think they come out with 10-11 wins. Where do you think Denver will end up?
Football Outsiders has released their 2022 Almanac, which you can purchase on their website (https://www.footballoutsiders.com/subscribe) or from their Amazon store (https://a.co/d/3fzpGZv).
Horse Tracks
Derek Wolfe believes Denver has necessary pieces to win Super Bowl
Derek Wolfe, who announced his retirement from the NFL on Friday, had a simple message when he spoke to the team after practice.
At jog-through pace, Broncos run 'way more' plays, show strong focus in Friday practice
Head Coach Nathaniel Hackett used Friday's practice as a sort of test for his team. After the session, it was clear the Broncos passed the evaluation.
Broncos Training Camp Day 3 report: Nathaniel Hackett eases off the gas - Andrew Mason
Nathaniel Hackett wanted to work his Broncos' brains while saving their bodies. The result was a downshifted, jog-through tempo.
Can Russell Wilson rediscover his elite form with the Denver Broncos?
Will a new offense in Denver help Russell Wilson sustain a high level of play after consecutive rollercoaster seasons?
Previewing the Denver Broncos' 2022 floor and ceiling scenarios
See what changes the Denver Broncos made to their roster this past off-season along with predictions on their best and worst case scenarios.
Brittany Bowlen steps down from Broncos to clear way for new ownership
At the Denver Broncos' staff awards day in June, Brittany Bowlen thanked employees and wished the Walton-Penner group well.
Loading comments...